Air quality, health and toxics impacts of the proposed coal power cluster in Payra
Lauri Myllyvirta
lead analyst
May 5, 2020
Air pollution: largest environmental health threat in Bangladesh
Air pollution the biggest environmental killer in the world and in Bangladesh (Global Burden of Disease Study)
WHO: Air pollution is officially classified as a carcinogen and labeled “a leading environmental cause of cancer deaths”
Air pollution increases vulnerability to COVID-19
Payra: Largest planned coal power cluster in South Asia, 2nd largest in the world
Country | Area | Proposed capacity, MW | Population density /km2 |
China | Shaanxi | 8640 | 275 |
Bangladesh | Barisal | 7300 | 458 |
Turkey | Kahramanmaras | 7000 | 52 |
Egypt | Red Sea | 6600 | 20 |
Bangladesh | Rangpur | 6000 | 1180 |
China | Shaanxi | 5320 | 120 |
China | Shaanxi | 5320 | 121 |
China | Xinjiang | 5280 | 1 |
Mongolia | Govisumber | 5280 | 3 |
Turkey | Konya | 5000 | 19 |
Current air pollution levels alarmingly high
PM2.5 air pollution levels were two times as high as Bangladesh standards already before any coal plants were in operation
WHO guideline
Methodology
The power plants would expose millions to elevated pollution levels
Threat of mercury contamination
Threat of mercury contamination
The plants would emit an estimated 600-800kg/year of mercury into the air
1/3 of this would be deposited into land and freshwater ecosystems in the region, 170-290 kg per year
Risk of mercury contamination of fish in an area of 1,500km2 to the north and northeast of the plants, with a population of approximately 1,500,000 people
Area | Direct deposition rate, mg/ha/yr | Total deposition into area, kg/yr |
Andarmanik River Hilsha Sanctuary | 33.5 - 1288.2 | 0.3 |
Tentulia River Hilsha Sanctuary | 11.6 - 196.6 | 7.0 |
Shahbazpur Hilsha Sanctuary | 5.6 - 64 | 4.1 |
Meghna and Padma River Sanctuaries | 11.5 - 46.8 | 2.9 |
Sundarbans | 1.1 - 22.5 | 3.6 |
Total for all protected areas | 34.1 |
Projected cumulative health impacts, over 30 years of operation
Outcome | Pollutant | |
deaths | Total | 34,636 |
asthma emergency room visits, adults | PM2.5 | 35,503 |
asthma emergency room visits, children | PM2.5 | 25,154 |
new cases of asthma in children | NO2 | 14,454 |
preterm births | PM2.5 | 39,042 |
work absence (sick leave days), million | PM2.5 | 25.6 |
years lived with disability, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | PM2.5 | 37,432 |
years lived with disability, diabetes | PM2.5 | 3,075 |
years lived with disability, stroke | PM2.5 | 16,952 |
How air pollution worsens the COVID-19 pandemic
The high levels of air pollution in Bangladesh are currently putting the population at an elevated risk from the unfolding COVID-19 epidemic.
Air pollution increases the risk of many pre-existing conditions that make COVID-19 more severe and deadly: Hundreds of thousands of Bangladesh citizens were already suffering from chronic diseases and disabilities because of their past exposure to air pollution, and this is making them more vulnerable to COVID-19
Likely the risk of infection is affected by the impact of air pollution on the immune system, and the respiratory symptoms for infected people are made worse by air pollution - there is evidence of this for respiratory infections in general but not yet for COVID-19.
Disease | Deaths | Years Lived with Disability |
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 30.5% | 15.0% |
Diabetes mellitus | 8.5% | 11.2% |
Ischemic heart disease | 9.7% | 2.0% |
Lower respiratory infections | 18.1% | 18.0% |
Stroke | 6.0% | 4.2% |
Lung cancer | 15.7% | 15.5% |
Contribution of air pollution to selected COVID-19 risk factors in Bangladesh (Global Burden of Disease Study 2017).
Key findings