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Air quality, health and toxics impacts of the proposed coal power cluster in Payra

Lauri Myllyvirta

lead analyst

May 5, 2020

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Air pollution: largest environmental health threat in Bangladesh

Air pollution the biggest environmental killer in the world and in Bangladesh (Global Burden of Disease Study)

WHO: Air pollution is officially classified as a carcinogen and labeled “a leading environmental cause of cancer deaths”

Air pollution increases vulnerability to COVID-19

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Payra: Largest planned coal power cluster in South Asia, 2nd largest in the world

Country

Area

Proposed capacity, MW

Population density /km2

China

Shaanxi

8640

275

Bangladesh

Barisal

7300

458

Turkey

Kahramanmaras

7000

52

Egypt

Red Sea

6600

20

Bangladesh

Rangpur

6000

1180

China

Shaanxi

5320

120

China

Shaanxi

5320

121

China

Xinjiang

5280

1

Mongolia

Govisumber

5280

3

Turkey

Konya

5000

19

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Current air pollution levels alarmingly high

PM2.5 air pollution levels were two times as high as Bangladesh standards already before any coal plants were in operation

WHO guideline

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Methodology

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The power plants would expose millions to elevated pollution levels

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Threat of mercury contamination

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Threat of mercury contamination

The plants would emit an estimated 600-800kg/year of mercury into the air

1/3 of this would be deposited into land and freshwater ecosystems in the region, 170-290 kg per year

Risk of mercury contamination of fish in an area of 1,500km2 to the north and northeast of the plants, with a population of approximately 1,500,000 people

Area

Direct deposition rate, mg/ha/yr

Total deposition into area, kg/yr

Andarmanik River Hilsha Sanctuary

33.5 - 1288.2

0.3

Tentulia River Hilsha Sanctuary

11.6 - 196.6

7.0

Shahbazpur Hilsha Sanctuary

5.6 - 64

4.1

Meghna and Padma River Sanctuaries

11.5 - 46.8

2.9

Sundarbans

1.1 - 22.5

3.6

Total for all protected areas

34.1

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Projected cumulative health impacts, over 30 years of operation

Outcome

Pollutant

deaths

Total

34,636

asthma emergency room visits, adults

PM2.5

35,503

asthma emergency room visits, children

PM2.5

25,154

new cases of asthma in children

NO2

14,454

preterm births

PM2.5

39,042

work absence (sick leave days), million

PM2.5

25.6

years lived with disability, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

PM2.5

37,432

years lived with disability, diabetes

PM2.5

3,075

years lived with disability, stroke

PM2.5

16,952

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How air pollution worsens the COVID-19 pandemic

The high levels of air pollution in Bangladesh are currently putting the population at an elevated risk from the unfolding COVID-19 epidemic.

Air pollution increases the risk of many pre-existing conditions that make COVID-19 more severe and deadly: Hundreds of thousands of Bangladesh citizens were already suffering from chronic diseases and disabilities because of their past exposure to air pollution, and this is making them more vulnerable to COVID-19

Likely the risk of infection is affected by the impact of air pollution on the immune system, and the respiratory symptoms for infected people are made worse by air pollution - there is evidence of this for respiratory infections in general but not yet for COVID-19.

Disease

Deaths

Years Lived with Disability

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

30.5%

15.0%

Diabetes mellitus

8.5%

11.2%

Ischemic heart disease

9.7%

2.0%

Lower respiratory infections

18.1%

18.0%

Stroke

6.0%

4.2%

Lung cancer

15.7%

15.5%

Contribution of air pollution to selected COVID-19 risk factors in Bangladesh (Global Burden of Disease Study 2017).

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Key findings

  • Bangladesh and Barisal are already suffering from high levels of air pollution, increasing the risk of many chronic diseases, lowering life expectancy and making the country more vulnerable to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • The seven coal-fired power plants proposed in Payra would constitute one of the largest air pollutant, mercury and CO2 emissions hotspots in South Asia and the world.
  • The plants would emit an estimated 600-800 kg of mercury per year into the air
    • one third would be deposited into land and freshwater
    • mercury deposition potentially dangerous in an area with 500,000 - 1,500,000 inhabitants
    • several protected Hilsa fisheries would be put at risk.
  • The plants would be responsible, over an operating life of 30 years, for a projected
    • 18,000-35,000 air pollution-related deaths
    • 71,000 asthma emergency room visits
    • 15,000 new cases of asthma in children
    • 39,000 preterm births
    • 26 million days of work absence (sick leave)
    • 57,000 years lived with disability related to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes and stroke