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Overcoming Barriers for Resilient C2

Alexander Kalloniatis (Integrated C4 Project/ Human and Decision Sciences Division)

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Resilience and the Enablers of Agility

Agility as “Ability to cope with Adversity”

  • Responsiveness
  • Versatility
  • Resilience: ability to recover from damage or degradation
  • Adaptiveness
  • Innovativeness

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The Return of Damaging (Existential)Threat

1985: Goldwater-Nichols reforms

US COCOMS

1991: DESERT STORM I

1992: End of Cold War

Revolution in Military Affairs

Network Centric Warfare

2001: 9/11

2021:

Afghan NEO

2014:

Russia-Crimea

2018:

PRC as US Competitor

2022:

Russia-Ukraine

Pelosi

TWN visit

SOVIET THREAT:

Nuclear ICBM strike

ALLIED C2:

Bunkered CPs

Terrorist/Insurgency:

IED/Weaponised Civilian environment

ALLIED C2:

Large Colocated Out-of-Range CPs

RUSSIA/PRC/PRNK/IRAN THREAT:

Long Range Strike

?

Technology Hubris

JADC2 “NCW on steroids”

Hides the Heterogeneity and irrepressibility of Uncertainty

“Joint Operations”/”Joint C2”

“Multi-Domain Operations”/”Multi-Domain C2”

Stalled

ICCRTS: We only worried about Organisational

Agility/Resilience

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The Resilience Trilemma

Complex Environment →

High Bandwidth Self-Synchronisation

Physical Resilience → Dilemmas for the Adversary

Cyber

Vulnerability

Immature Joint and Service-based:

stove-piped (by domain) operations

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The Wisdom of Nelson

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What can this teach us?

Discuss