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TUCK COMMUNITY CONSULTING

2021

Vermont Community Farm

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SUMMARY: WE HAVE IDENTIFIED A FEW COMMUNITY AREAS OF INTEREST AND AN INITIAL ESTIMATE OF BUILDING COST

Geography

  • Identified desirable locations in VT based on reduced noise pollution, households below the poverty level, and households with disposable income
  • Homed in on the area northeast of Burlington and northeast of Rutland
  • Identified representative plots of land for sale in proximity to the desired location

Building cost estimates

  • Estimated phase I Building square footage required ranges from ~20k-35k total and building cost alone ranges from ~$6.5M-8.5M before project costs and uplift for unknowns (up to $16m total all included)
  • Low estimates of building costs, including building and project costs, are approximately ~11-13m for each phase
  • Further detailed descriptions of building cost estimates are included and there are numerous additional features that could add to these costs; costs do not include:
        • Solar energy cost
        • Water supply and delivery
        • Specific permaculture building costs, as costs are very project specific

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SUMMARY: WE HAVE IDENTIFIED A FEW COMMUNITY AREAS OF INTEREST AND AN INITIAL ESTIMATE OF BUILDING COST

Geography

  • Identified desirable locations in VT based on reduced noise pollution, households below the poverty level, and households with disposable income
  • Homed in on the area northeast of Burlington and northeast of Rutland
  • Identified representative plots of land for sale in proximity to the desired location

Building cost estimates

  • Estimated phase I Building square footage required ranges from ~20k-35k total and building cost alone ranges from ~$6.5M-8.5M before project costs and uplift for unknowns (up to $16m total all included)
  • Low estimates of building costs, including building and project costs, are approximately ~11-13m for each phase
  • Further detailed descriptions of building cost estimates are included and there are numerous additional features that could add to these costs; costs do not include:
        • Solar energy cost
        • Water supply and delivery
        • Specific permaculture building costs, as costs are very project specific

Building cost estimates

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DESIRED LOCATIONS

East of the Long Trail on the Northern Sections:

  • Waitsfield
  • North Fayston
  • Eden
  • Underhill
  • Lowell
  • Montgomery Center
  • Belvedere Center
  • Johnson

Locations adjacent to the Appalachian Trail:

    • Danby
    • Wallington, South Wallingford, and East Wallington
    • Cuttinsville
    • Kingsley
    • Clarendon
    • Shrewsbury, and North Shrewsbury
    • Brewers Corner
    • West Bridgewater
    • Mendon

    • Notown
    • Barnard
    • Woodstock
    • Pomfret
    • North Pomfret
    • Taftsville
    • Millbrook
    • Hartford , and West Hartford
    • Dothan
    • Jericho
    • Bragg
    • Norwich

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DESIRED LOCATION PARAMETERS: ROBIN HOOD MODEL

Zip codes with:

  • 300+ households with disposable income > $50k annually

Zip codes with:

  • 300+ households below the poverty level

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LOCATION RECOMMENDATIONS GIVEN DESIRED ROBIN HOOD MODEL PARAMETER OVERLAY

East of Essex, near Underhill

Northeast of Rutland & Southwest of Hartford

Zip Codes with:

300+ households with disposable income > $50k annually

300+ households below the poverty level

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NOISE POLLUTION SHOULD NOT BE A MAJOR FACTOR NORTHEAST OF BURLINGTON AND RUTLAND

  • Most noise pollution in generated in downtown Burlington by the Burlington International Airport
    • Area northeast of Burlington appears to be void of noise pollution
  • Some noise pollution is generated by the Rutland Southern Vermont Regional Airport
    • Area northeast of Rutland appears to be void of noise pollution

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LAND SEARCH PRIORITIZATION CRITERIA

Proximity to identified townships (<1 hour drive)

Access to trail systems

Size (>50 acres)

Paved Road access

Increasing Priority

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NORTH LOCATION SAMPLE PLOTS

#1 Worcester

#2 Waterbury

Distance from Underhill

55 mins

30 mins

Access to Trails

Yes (Timberlands)

Yes (private)

Paved Road Access

No (dirt)

Yes

Size

3568 Acres

62 Acres

Price

$3.7M

$450K

Price Per Acre

$1037

$7258

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SOUTH LOCATION SAMPLE PLOTS

#1 Fairlee

#2 Bridgewater

Distance from Rutland

30 mins

30 mins

Access to Trails

Yes (private)

Yes (private)

Paved Road Access

No (gravel)

No (dirt)

Size

83 Acres

626 Acres

Price

$147K

$801K

Price Per Acre

$1771

$1280

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LAND SEARCH KEY CONSIDERATIONS AND TRADEOFFS

Availability

  • Low inventory of high acreage land (>500 acres) in desired locations available
  • Land publicly available near major trail systems (The Long Trail, AT) is very uncommon

Additional Costs

  • Lands with high acreage tend to be heavily wooded
  • Wide variance in established infrastructure on for sale properties (water, electricity, etc.)
  • Paved road developments

Other Considerations

  • Many properties on land easements create land use challenges

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JERICHO UNDERHILL, UPPER VALLEY AND VERMONT LANDS TRUSTS ARE THE MOST FEASIBLE

Land Trusts

Feasibility

Charlotte Land Trust

Nothing over 125 acres

Duxbury Land Trust

Nothing over 30 acres

Greensboro Land Trust

Not in the area we want

Jericho Underhill Land Trust

Right area and land >200 acres

Lake Champlain Land Trust

Not in the area we want

Northern Rivers Land Trust

Nothing over 121 acres

Richmond Land Trust

Nothing over 100 acres

South Hero Land Trust

Not in the area we want

The Watershed Center

Not in the area we want

Upper Valley Land Trust

A little east of Royalton and has large tracts of land

Vermont Family Forests Foundation, Inc.

Plots of right size are “forever wild”

New England Forestry Foundation

Lands are public

Northeast Wilderness Trust

Land is “forever wild”

The Nature Conservancy

Lands are public

Vermont Land Trust

Right area and has large tracts of land

  • The land trusts have been very hard to reach (time of year, COVID)
  • Most local land trusts are very small and run by a volunteer staff
  • Local land trust decisions are generally up to the landowner
  • There is probably a tradeoff between size and autonomy

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SUMMARY: WE HAVE IDENTIFIED A FEW COMMUNITY AREAS OF INTEREST AND AN INITIAL ESTIMATE OF BUILDING COST

Geography

  • Identified desirable locations in VT based on reduced noise pollution, households below the poverty level, and households with disposable income
  • Homed in on the area northeast of Burlington and northeast of Rutland
  • Identified representative plots of land for sale in proximity to the desired location

Building cost estimates

  • Estimated phase I Building square footage required ranges from ~20k-35k total and building cost alone ranges from ~$6.5M-8.5M before project costs and uplift for unknowns (up to $16m total all included)
  • Low estimates of building costs, including building and project costs, are approximately ~11-13m for each phase
  • Further detailed descriptions of building cost estimates are included and there are numerous additional features that could add to these costs; costs do not include:
        • Solar energy cost
        • Water supply and delivery
        • Specific permaculture building costs, as costs are very project specific

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ESTIMATED PHASE I BUILDING SQUARE FOOTAGE REQUIRED RANGES FROM ~20K-35K TOTAL

*Buildings not included in architect invoice

Note: assumptions for cost per square foot based on available comparable buildings or cost information from relevant comparable contractors

Horse pasture acreage requirement of ~1-2 acres per horse not included here

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ESTIMATED PHASE I BUILDING COST ALONE RANGES FROM ~$6.5M-8.5M BEFORE PROJECT COSTS AND UPLIFT FOR UNKNOWNS

*Buildings not included in architect invoice

Note: assumptions for cost per square foot based on available comparable buildings or cost information from relevant comparable contractors; cost shown here does not include potential unknown costs or ‘uplift’ estimate

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ESTIMATED BUILDING COSTS, INCLUDING BUILDING AND PROJECT COSTS, ARE APPROXIMATELY ~11-13M FOR EACH PHASE

Note: assumptions for cost per square foot based on available comparable buildings or cost information from relevant comparable contractors; total cost includes 40% premium given unknowns; project costs estimated for buildings not in scope based on relative size and building cost

Project costs include

  • Architectural fees
  • Civil Engineering fees
  • Mechanical/Electrical Engineering fees
  • Structural Engineering fees
  • Permaculture Consultant
  • Landscape Architect
  • State & Local Permitting fees
  • Starlink WiFi (as example)
  • Site related development costs
  • ADA consultant and per building compliance estimates
  • Road cost

Phase 2 architect total estimate is so low given many buildings not included in architect estimate

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BUILDING DEEP DIVES

DETAILED ASSUMPTIONS

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BUILDING DEEP DIVES: �BUILDING 1 – OFFICES/CO-DIRECTOR LIVING QUARTERS

Total est cost: $1.2m-$2.4m

Premium features that may change cost to build

  • Passive house design
  • Additional master bedrooms
  • 3-4 smaller bedrooms and accompanying bathrooms
  • Double-sided fireplace
  • Additional offices

Information and assumptions

  • 4000-8000 sq ft
  • Estimated cost per square foot $300
  • One master bedroom
  • One office and waiting area
  • Two bathrooms (one in bedroom, one public)

Note: total est cost does not include 40% uplift for unknowns, and is thus a conservative number

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BUILDING DEEP DIVES: �BUILDING 2 – ACTIVITY BUILDING/EVENT BARN

Total est cost: $4m-$6m

Premium features that may change cost to build

  • Stage
  • Coffee/tea/smoothie/alcohol bar (+ license)
  • 4-6 stall bathrooms
  • Fireplace
  • Second floor

Information and assumptions

  • 10,000-15,000 sq ft
  • Estimated cost per square foot $400
  • Two bathrooms

Note: total est cost does not include 40% uplift for unknowns, and is thus a conservative number

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BUILDING DEEP DIVES: �BUILDING 3 – BARN (HORSE/DONKEY + ARENA)

Total est cost: $3m-$5m

Premium features that may change cost to build

  • Larger covered arena
  • Kitchen
  • Multi bathroom
  • Large tack area
  • Office within building
  • *of note: require ~1-2 acres per horse and either box stall of 12x8 or 10x10 or a tie stall of 45 sq ft

Information and assumptions

  • 15,000-25,000 sq ft
    • 2,500 sq ft for barn
    • 12,500 sq ft for arena (horses require 200sq ft exercise space per horse)
  • Estimated cost per square foot $200
  • One bathroom

Note: total est cost does not include 40% uplift for unknowns, and is thus a conservative number

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BUILDING DEEP DIVES: �BUILDING 4 – STORAGE SHED & VEHICLE STORAGE

Total est cost: $150k-$200k

Premium features that may change cost to build

  • Additional vehicle bays
  • Built in tool storage system

Information and assumptions

  • 1,500-2,000 sq ft
    • One enclosed vehicle bay
    • Storage space
  • Estimated cost per square foot $100

Note: total est cost does not include 40% uplift for unknowns, and is thus a conservative number

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BUILDING DEEP DIVES: �PARKING AREAS FOR GUESTS (4-5)

Total est cost: $20k-$50k

Premium features that may change cost to build

  • Clearing or grading of parking lot location
  • Covered or enclosed parking
  • Alternative materials including asphalt or concrete
  • Parking spot delineation using paint or concrete wheelstops

Information and assumptions

  • 4,000-10,000 sq ft
    • Assumes 2 - 5 parking areas of 2,000 sq ft each
    • Each parking area would fit ~8 cars
    • Gravel
  • Estimated cost per square foot $5

Note: total est cost does not include 40% uplift for unknowns, and is thus a conservative number

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BUILDING DEEP DIVES: �BUILDING 7 – GOAT/CHICKEN BARN

Total est cost: $140k-$200k

Premium features that may change cost to build

  • Connected outdoor space for grazing
  • Bathroom
  • Additional storage space
  • *of note: require ~ 50 sq ft yard space per goat, 0.2-0.3 acres per dairy goat and 10 sq ft yard space per hen.

Information and assumptions

  • 700-1,000 sq ft
    • 650-850 sq ft for animal enclosures
    • Assumes 20 goats and 15 chickens (20 sq ft per goat and 3 sq ft per chicken)
    • 50-150 sq ft for viewing area/ storage space
  • Estimated cost per square foot $200

Note: total est cost does not include 40% uplift for unknowns, and is thus a conservative number

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BUILDING DEEP DIVES: �BUILDING 8 – STAFF CABINS

Total est cost: $1.2M

Premium features that may change cost to build

  • Passive house design
  • Additional bathrooms
  • In-unit kitchenettes
  • Fireplace

Information and assumptions

  • Assumes 6 staff cabins
  • 1,000 sq ft
  • Estimated cost per square foot $200
  • One bathroom

Note: total est cost does not include 40% uplift for unknowns, and is thus a conservative number

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BUILDING DEEP DIVES: �BUILDING 9 – GUEST CABINS

Total est cost: $2m-$4.5m

Premium features that may change cost to build

  • Passive house design
  • Additional bedrooms or bathrooms
  • Fireplace
  • Outdoor hot tub and/or fire pit

Information and assumptions

  • Assumes 10 – 20 cabins
  • 500-750 sq ft
  • Estimated cost per square foot $200
  • One bathroom

Note: total est cost does not include 40% uplift for unknowns, and is thus a conservative number

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ADDITIONAL COSTS

Total est cost: $2.8m

Costs not yet included

  • Solar energy cost
  • Water supply and delivery
  • Specific permaculture building costs, as costs are very project specific

Item

Estimate

Assumption

Architectural fees

$212,600

Civil Engineering fees

$100,000

E.g., Grenier engineering

Mechanical/Electrical Engineering fees

$100,000

Structural Engineering fees

$150,000

Permaculture Consultant

$50,000

Landscape Architect

$50,000

State & Local Permitting fees

$50,000

Starlink wifi

$7,200

set up & one year

ADA consultant

$5,000

ADA per building

$45,000

2 buildings

Road

$77,000

tree clearing, permits, drainage, grading, assumes gravel road of 3,000 feet

Site related development costs

$2,000,000

x40% uncertainty uplift = ~4m

Note: *These costs are based on mainly phase 1 buildings. As phase 2 is planned and built in addition to any changes in the size or scope of phase 1, additional fees may be needed)