Current �Long-Term Services and Supports (LTSS) Challenges and Strategies
November 4, 2025
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Closed Captions
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Welcome and �Meeting Logistics Reminders
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Agenda
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Federal and Budget Updates on Medicaid in Colorado
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Unsustainable Medicaid trends due to increases in medical inflation, increases in our benefits, expansion of our coverage programs, outlier trends in certain areas, and outlier increases to our provider reimbursement rates.
Medicaid General Fund cost trends averaged +5% annually (0-11% range) from FY 2015-2016 to FY 2019-2020, and averaged +19% (12%-26% range) from FY 2021-2022 to FY 2024-2025.
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Fiscal Yr | Year End GF (in millions) | % Growth | GF Actuals Growth |
FY 2014-15 | $2,210.6 | 22% | $404.10 |
FY 2015-16 | $2,364.0 | 7% | $153.40 |
FY 2016-17 | $2,407.5 | 2% | $43.50 |
FY 2017-18 | $2,679.6 | 11% | $272.10 |
FY 2018-19 | $2,824.8 | 5% | $145.20 |
FY 2019-20 | $2,822.5 | 0% | ($2.30) |
FY 2020-21 | $2,556.6 | -9% | ($265.90) |
FY 2021-22 | $2,865.7 | 12% | $309.10 |
FY 2022-23 | $3,452.3 | 20% | $586.60 |
FY 2023-24 | $4,362.0 | 26% | $909.70 |
FY 2024-25 | TBD | **16% | **Based on forecast |
Long Term Services and Supports
LTSS ~5% of members: 42% of spend at higher trend of 9-12%
Non-LTSS ~95% of members: 56% of spend at a lower trend of 8-9%
Taking care of people with disabilities is core to Medicaid programs.
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LTSS Members
Non-LTSS Members
Medicaid Sustainability Framework helps us
better manage Medicaid trends and avoid draconian cuts
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HCPF’s FY26/27 Budget
Resources: HCPF FY 2026-27 Budget Agenda Summary and FY 2025-26 HCPF Budget Reductions Fact Sheet
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Governor’s Budget released on October 31, 2025
LTSS Medicaid Sustainability Actions
We recognize the significant impact the Sustainability Actions will have on Long-Term Services and Supports (LTSS) members, families, and providers, and that news of benefit changes and reductions is difficult.
Robust HCPF Plan to help navigate our realities
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H.R.1 Medicaid Coverage Threats
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Medicaid Expansion population - 375,000 Medicaid members:
North Star: Mitigate coverage losses and its catastrophic consequences to Coloradans, providers, economy
County Administration Changes: Shared Services
H.R.1: Work Requirements
Working with CMS on Flexibilities
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MVP Engagement Timeline
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OCT 2025
High Level Concept of MVP
Presenting MVP concepts to key partners, gathering FAQs & starting work on improvements beyond MVP.
OCT- FEB 2026
Member Outreach & Noticing Material Development
Working with stakeholders on initial noticing about work requirements and self attestation form. Later conversations around member journey & outreach strategy pending additional funding.
NOV/DEC 2025
CMS Initial Guidance is Expected Allowing for More Detailed Conversations on Workings of MVP
Focus on more detailed workings of MVP to iron out coordination with counties & key partners.
JAN 2026
Iterating on MVP: Longer Term Improvements to the system
Working with stakeholders on improving the MVP using interfaces and system improvements to reduce member & county burden. Conversations facilitated by contracted vendor pending additional funding.
Ongoing collaboration with SNAP/TANF and other programs with work requirements.
Updated H.R.1 Resources
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HR 1 Engagement Survey
We value your partnership in navigating this challenging time together.
Please complete this survey to help us understand:
To submit a question or comment related to H.R.1, please use our online form. You can also email us at hcpf_HR1@state.co.us.
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Rural Health Transformation Program (RHTP)
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$50B in Federal Funding Available
$10B/yr over 5 FFYs 2026-2030
For more, visit the HCPF Colorado Rural Health Transformation Program webpage.
Colorado’s RHTP Application Overview
Through collaboration and innovation, Colorado’s RHTP will transform how care is delivered, driving accessibility, quality, and affordability for rural communities.
Colorado’s application approach:
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Questions?
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Protecting Coverage for LTSS Members
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Disability Determinations
Where We Started
Where We Are At Now
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Disability Determinations (1)
This graph shows the disability applications received since January 2024 until September 2025.
The average is around 1250 applications per month, with the lowest amount in March 2024 of 927, up to 1,428 in March 2025.
This data shows us that we are seeing a consistently high amount of disability applications.
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Disability Determinations 2
This graph shows the disability applications completed since January 2024.
It shows us that before HCPF intervened, less than 1,000 applications were closing each month. With new processes and tracking mechanisms in place, between 1,100 and 1,300 applications are being completed each month.
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Escalations Process
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Eligibility LTSS Path to Stabilization
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Emerging Issues
Stabilization Actions
Sunsetting Flexibilities
February 2024, member eligibility for those receiving Long Term Services and Supports was impacted.
Fast tracked temporary eligibility system (CBMS) changes to mitigate LTSS member impacts. Obtained federal approval.
End temporary eligibility protections. Return to normal eligibility processing guidelines.
Long Term Care 60-Day Eligibility Extension Sunset
Special THANK YOU to everyone that has partnered and collaborated with the goal of supporting applicants and members, improving their experience, and gaining access to important health benefits.
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Long Term Care 60-Day Eligibility Extension Sunset Plan
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The COGNOS reports (MA LTC and Buy-In Eligibility Extension) created in 2024 with the original project will continue to be available for the eligibility sites and case management agencies through June 2026.
Current Process�Scenario
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September 9, 2025
November 5, 2025
September 10, 2025
Member on PACE does not return requested verification. When eligibility is run, the member is approved for the 60-day extension 10/1/2025 through 11/30/2025
Eligibility determination
Eligibility extension notice sent to the member indicating their eligibility has been extended
Extension Notice
Member does not return required verification. When eligibility is run on 11/5/2025 their eligibility will terminate effective 11/30/2025 and a termination notice will be sent
Termination
Implementation of eligibility extension sunset
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December 30, 2025
March 5, 2026
Member on the Adult Buy-In program reports they are no longer working.
When eligibility is run, the member will be approved for the 60 day extension starting 2/1/2026 through 3/31/2026.
The Eligibility extension notice will be triggered and sent to the member.
Eligibility determination
No updates are received from the member. The member’s eligibility will rerun on 3/5/2026. If not found eligible for any other aid code, the member will terminate effective 3/31/2026 and a termination notice will be sent.
Termination
Implementation of eligibility extension sunset 2
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January 15, 2026
Member on HCBS has not returned requested verification. When eligibility is run on 1/15/2026, the member’s HCBS will terminate effective 1/31/2026 and a termination notice will be sent.
Eligibility determination
Paying Providers Timely to Protect Access to Services
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PAR Edits
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CCM Updates
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Care and Case Management System
Where We Started
Where We Are At Now
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LTSS Care and Case Management (CCM) System Stabilization and Enhancement Dashboard
The LTSS Care and Case Management (CCM) System Stabilization & Enhancement Dashboard is posted to HCPF website https://hcpf.colorado.gov/ltss-ccm-system-stabilization-dashboard
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LOC Transmission Alerts
On September 7th, there was a CCM release to provide case managers feedback for Level of Care (LOC) transmissions:
There are now 3 types of alerts that are LIVE in the CCM for completed 100.2 Assessments:
1. The LOC Certification has been successfully sent
2. LOC Certification was not sent
3. LOC Certification Rejection Notification
Data quality metrics for the month of September 2025
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Interface ID | Title | Total Transactions | Total Accepted | % Accepted |
A | PEAK/CBMS Outbound | 10,988 | 10,950 | 99.6% |
Introduction to PAR Interface
Improve Workflow Efficiencies for the Case Manager
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PAR Interface Timeline
October to December 2025: Vendor AC/GW E2E Testing, HCPF Testing and Training Documents Delivery
January 2026: Estimated Go Live
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Reducing Case Management and County Backlog
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Case Management Agency Performance
Pending Referrals
755 statewide in Sept ’25
June ‘24 to Sept ‘25: 80% Reduction
Past Due CSRs
55 statewide in Sept ’25
June ‘24 to Sept ‘25: 93% Reduction
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Past Due Initials
158 statewide in Sept ’25
June ‘24 to Sept ‘25:
78% Reduction
Case Management
Backlog Update
Ongoing Oversight
Key takeaway: Agencies are not experiencing high impact to stabilization with the launch of Community First Choice. Referrals are occurring but are not higher than average/normal.
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County New Application Information
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The Total Application Backlog has Decreased 90% since May 2024.
Application Timeliness
Backlog is defined as “Exceeding Processing Guidelines”
County Renewal Information
The Total Renewal Member Backlog Decreased 89% since November of 2024. Most of the decrease was due to project implementation.
Renewal Timeliness
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Questions?2
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Thank You!
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