2025-26 Budget Committee

February 2026

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Agenda

• Welcome (please sign in)

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• Meeting Schedule & Committee Norms

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• Legislative Update

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• Budget Process & Enrollment

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• Co-Chair Discussion

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• Survey & Wrap-up

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Meeting Schedule

• All meetings are at ZAC at 5:30pm

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• Next Meeting: March 26^th

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• Follow-on meetings if needed (co-chairs)

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Committee Norms

• Develop clearly defined objectives for the committee.

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• Be prepared to work towards objectives.

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• Ask questions and be respectful of others’ questions and ideas.

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• Seek to understand and ask clarifying questions.

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• Seek agreement on facts and then work towards values.

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• Maintain a safe environment.

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This bill is essentially an "omnibus efficiency bill" that the legislature is using to close the state’s $2.3 billion budget shortfall by pulling funds from several different education buckets simultaneously.

By blending these items into one bill, the legislature is attempting to pass multiple "austerity" measures at once. Here is what is currently tied together in the latest version of the bill:

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Camas Impact

• Bus Depreciation ($200k loss annually - one bus/year)

Mandatory 15-year (180-month) depreciation schedule (up from 8 or 13 years).

Delays reimbursement; forces older, high-maintenance buses to stay in our fleet longer.

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• Transition to Kindergarten (TK) ($206k annual funding - entirety of TK model for 17 students)

Limits funding strictly to students eligible for Free & Reduced Price Meals (185% of federal poverty level).

Threatens our Inclusive Pre-K model by removing state funding for students who aren't low-income but still need readiness support.

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• Running Start (no direct financial impact; we currently have 45 students over 1.2 combined FTE who would see reduced access)

Reduces funded maximum enrollment from 1.4 FTE to 1.2 FTE.

Reduces the number of college credits a high school student can take for free.

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• Materials & Supplies (MSOC) ($200k reduction annually)

Withholds 1.9% of 9-12 grade MSOC funds to pay for the state's new "High School and Beyond" online platform.

Effectively a "tax" on our classroom supply budget to pay for a mandated state software (SchooLinks).

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The "Efficiency" Package (SB 6260)

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Survey Results

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Enrollment Forecasting Purpose

• Forecasting in February through next June (16 month lead-time)

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• Establishes a revenue forecast for budgeting
• Does not set actual revenues (those are based on actual enrollment)

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• Helps to plan for staffing requirements
• Allows us to begin the expenditure budgeting process

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Enrollment Forecasting

• Basic Ed Enrollment Models - Enrollment withough ALE, Running Start, or Dropout
• Straight Roll
• 2-Yr Actual Ave Change
• Flo Analytics Low
• Flo Analytics Mid
• Flo Analytics Average
• Consensus Model (recommended)

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• Program Enrollment (program managers input)
• Transitional Bilingual
• Special Education
• CTE
• Running Start

Key Consideration: Enrollment & Revenue

The budget revenue estimate (F203) is driven by enrollment assumptions. Inflating or deflating these hurts you in the long run - the actual revenue will be based on actual enrollment.

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Enrollment Forecasting - 2026-27

• Last year - switched to the “Flo Low” forecast, which projected a reduction in enrollment based upon committee recommendations and trends

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• 2024-25 to Jan 2025-26 (current): .90% growth in BE enrollment.

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• 2026-27 models vary from -2.58% to 3.38% change in enrollment.

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• Consensus model and recommendation is .74% growth in BE enrollment.

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• After modeling BE enrollment growth, include ALE program back into BE enrollment, along with increasing Grad Alliance expenditures.

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2026-27 Modeling

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Does not inject new students into system

Underperformed in previous years

Assumes historically high enrollment growth

Skewed high by historical data.

Mixed forecast between Flo, Current Year Trend, and anticipated growth

This is enrollment without ALE, Running Start, or Dropout

Enrollment Distribution

(Actual to Consensus)

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ALE/Grad Alliance figures are tentative pending outcome of CCA town hall in late Feb. Expect them to be revised.

Through Feb - 6740.31

Enrollment Questions/Discussion

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Co-Chair Discussion

Public Outreach

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Wrap-up & Survey

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Questions?

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