Semi-Pro Roller Coaster Rider

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If I Were Fired...

-$500k

The 100-hour threat? Or opportunity?

8.4

72 mph

AI Compared to the Manhattan Project

What We'll Do Today

• What's new in AI
• Workshops
• Blueprint of how to deploy
• Interrupt with questions

Disorienting, Blistering Adoption pace

How Much Do You Use AI? Experiment!

• How many use AI once a month?
• A week?
• A day?
• AI deployments that have had a meaningful impact on your business?

Live Experiment Results

A few Quotes about what’s happening

• "24 months from now, it's possible that most developers are not coding," said Garman, AWS's CEO
• "Whiplash" Google CEO Sundar Pichai in March 2023 describing the pace of change, security and ethics - 1/3 of google’s code now written by AI
• "There will be two kinds of companies at the end of this decade... Those that are fully utilizing AI, and those that are out of business." - X Prize founder Nov 2022
• Leetcode - Defeated by AI script
• BCG Consultants with AI completed 12% more tasks and 25% faster
• "From this point on, the intelligence of LLMs… will only continue to improve. Human intelligence will not." - OpenAI
• Anthropic CEO "At the beginning of the year, [software creation] state of the art was 3 or 4%... in 10 months we've gone from 3% to 50% on this task. And I think in another year we'll probably be at 90%.

Student Builds $2,000 Fusion Reactor

"In a couple weeks, I built a nuclear fusor in my bedroom – with zero hardware experience"

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Last year’s Subtle & powerful upgrades

• Claude 3.5 Sonnet
• Google Context window - 2 million tokens: 2 hours of video, 22 hours of audio, 60,000 lines of code, or over 1.4 million words
• Last few weeks:
• Anthropic Claude Computer Control last week
• Anthropic Claude 100 page PDFs this week
• Nvidia’s Llama model last week
• Chinese models on par with large US models

Give AI your your mouse & keyboard?

• Go to labcorp and download my labs
• Look at the attendees of this meeting. Build a spreadsheet about the owners and their companies
• Watch this construction site video & write up things you see that dangerous or good, create a spreadsheet of critical issues to address"

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What's Next in AI?

• So What? Don't ignore what's already here.
• If nothing else happens, there is still so much work to be done to integrate current tools in production.
• Mix & Match game - Hammer+Screwdriver Saw=?

20 minute Workshop - AI Ideas to Action

• Breaking down the ways to solve
• Off the shelf software & Write your own software - Quick test
• Off the shelf software - Legos or Mix and Match
• Complex Deployment of off the shelf software - 2 months

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• Nancy, Versatech - Sales Marketing Outreach
• Nancy, Versatech - CRM/ Accounting HR Automation
• Greg Warehouse Solutions
• Ken, Mallick Plumbing - Recording technicians
• Diane Devaney - Writing and photo generation
• Amanda - NelsonColeman.com - Trend identification, Improve experience and Lower cost
• Vladimir - Technology Trading Partners - Auto Test, Pricing -> Pulse of used IT market
• Details of all Workshop ideas

Learning and Deploying AI Is Hard

• No manual. You’re building the plane while flying
• Regular errors. Or bad communication & delegation?
• Many ethical concerns
• Moving at light speed. Accelerating exponentially
• MBA training & typical playbook only partially helpful
• Few are prepared for the psychology of how hard this is

Your Skills, Personality & AI Adoption

AI�Early Adopter

Ethics towards

• Optimism
• Risk of Ethics overpowered

Ethics repulsed

• Bias
• IP Theft
• Power
• Fear

Personality Towards

• Resourcefulness
• Persistent
• Curious
• Problem Solver
• Creative
• Delegator
• Technical skill
• Attention to detail

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Tech Repulsed & Attracted

• Technical Ability?
• Instant Application?

Culture, AI adoption, "Secret Cyborgs"

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• Fear of discipline -> Need clear policies
• Enjoy Hero Status -> Create reward systems
• Anxiety about job loss -> No AI layoffs
• Sharing won’t be rewarded -> Incentives for breakthroughs
• Great work with AI! Do More! -> Model how gains are good for company and employees

Next: Getting Started & Build Your Plan

Time for a break? Questions?

Our Children, Education & AI

• Do your kids need to learn like Lincoln?
• AI will be used no matter what. Be open so you can guide them.
• Use the tools with your values?
• Plagiarism & AI use is indetectable

Get Some Goosebumps

• Spreadsheet: formula to isolate "2.5" from a Google sheet cell labeled D2 with the contents of "2.5 attending" Dec 2022
• 8.4 Ratio - A company in 100 hours
• If it doesn't make you want to holler, you ain't doing it right.

Getting Started and Building a Plan

• You have to meander, go backwards first.
• Who should lead this?
• Scoring your ideas?
• Measuring results
• Plan for Executing on different budgets

First Step - Meander with a Purpose

• Wharton Professor Ethan Mollick says spend 10 hours.
• Work towards something you enjoy. Cars? Music? Cooking? Learning? or something in the business?
• Get ready to run backwards into a brick wall
• Only then can you crawl, walk, run

Bias. Ethics. Failures.

• Stay Critical and Alert
• Only you press the red button. Is it a two way door?
• MIT: LLMs become more covertly racist with human intervention
• Lawsuits around copyright infringement.
• Protecting creators? Speciesist?

Toys I found...

AI to co-create & Improve Presentation

• Please review the transcripts of the audio recorded from when this PDF was presented last time. I'd like to make a number of changes
• Feedback: Tools and Demonstrations - The transcript shows high engagement when Rob demonstrated actual tools. These demonstrations should be moved earlier in the presentation
• Built in sheets, API to spell check, Injected to Google Presentation
• Research Content, Image creation
• Claude to Build interactive graphs

Off-the-Shelf Tools to Play With

• Claude (Anthropic) Chat app, desktop app and artifacts / ChatGPT
• Use Claude to make Mermaids
• Cursor (If you start writing scripts)
• Make.com or Zapier to connect things together
• Google AI Studio
• Napkin.io - Charts/ Graphics, etc

Mermaid - Words to flow charts

You should lead this

• You have a superpower. You know: Why, Delegation, Blind Spots Industry Knowledge, Competitors.
• Traits: Exceptionally Persistent, Curious Creative, Problem Solver, Delegator or Communicator
• Bare minimum: Have someone who owns AI at your company, Get a coach or have your new AI person train you
• Put yourself in a scarcity mindset - "Stay Hungry. Stay Foolish"

Hiring Your AI Explorer: Traits Needed

• Resourcefulness / Work with no manual
• They know why
• Persistent
• Curious
• Problem Solving
• Creative
• Delegator or Communicator
• Basic technical chops
• Attention to detail

Finding the People Internally

• I felt uneasy about my advice here.
• Worried about the team gaming the interview process?
• What should my advice to you be?

Interviewing for the Traits

• Persistent - Can you share two specific examples of when you continued pursuing a task despite multiple setbacks?
• Curious - What's the last new skill or technology you learned, and what motivated you to explore it? Follow up: How did you get over the learning curve?
• Problem Solver - Can you describe two specific times when you encountered a complex problem, there was no documentation, you had to solve it with little help from others, how did you approach solving it?
• Tech Savviness - Tell me about two specific times when you fixed a computer / phone or other problem because you couldn't get support or didn't have time to wait for help.

Critical Elements of a Plan

• Define Success & Benchmarks
• Find Small incremental improvements - John Kotter / James Clear
• Scoring areas to start on
• Measuring success against company goals
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Get those 8.4x running shoes!

• We've Meandered and learned.
• We're hollering! Goosebumps?
• Pick some projects, Plan & execute

Finding and Scoring Ideas

• Whiteboard 100 Ideas. No idea is too silly.
• Pick the top 5-10
• Write a PRFAQ for each
• Score them
• Pick a few to go make happen

Score And Select Ideas

21 Criteria on How to Score Ideas

• Make the scorecard simpler if you want
• Five scoring categories
• Strategic Alignment and Impact
• Financial Considerations
• Risk and Compliance
• Technical Feasibility and Implementation
• Organizational Readiness and Human Factors

The 21 Criteria. Do we dig in here?

20 minute Workshop - AI Ideas to Action

• Breaking down the ways to solve
• Off the shelf software & Write your own software - Quick test
• Off the shelf software - Legos or Mix and Match
• Complex Deployment of off the shelf software - 2 months

​

• Nancy, Versatech - Sales Marketing Outreach
• Nancy, Versatech - CRM/ Accounting HR Automation
• Greg Warehouse Solutions
• Ken, Mallick Plumbing - Recording technicians
• Diane Devaney - Writing and photo generation
• Amanda - NelsonColeman.com - Trend identification, Improve experience and Lower cost
• Vladimir - Technology Trading Partners - Auto Test, Pricing -> Pulse of used IT market
• Details of all Workshop ideas

Further Reading

• AI Idea scoring tool
• Andrew Ng & Deep Learning
• Wharton Professor Ethan Mollick
• 12 Predictions for the Future of Technology | Vinod Khosla | TED
• AI Escape Velocity
• Harvard Business Review - How to Use AI to Create Role-Play Scenarios -
• McKinsey Scenario planning
• Mollick - Progress in 21 months
• OpenAI Prompt engineering & Clear instructions
• Thoughtful AI video: Be An Elephant & How it was built
• Helena Liu - Youtube how explainer videos

Last Things

• Want to learn more? Calendar an hour with me
• Please give me, Ed or Vistage feedback.
• I'd love to make this talk better.
• Criticism > than praise
• LinkedIn, robwray@gmail.com
• Requests for take home material?

Appendix & The 21 Criteria

Alignment with Company Strategy, Risk vs. Reward, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Regulatory/Compliance Considerations, Data accessibility & Integration with Existing Systems, Technology Maturity, Time to Implementation, Scalability, Maintenance and Long-term Viability, Employee Skill Impact, Cultural Readiness, Transparency and Explainability, Employee Experience, How many people?, Competitive Advantage, Customer Impact, Potential for Innovation, Cross-departmental Impact, Labor costs to deploy, Hard costs to deploy, Estimated ROI

Culture, AI adoption, "Secret Cyborgs"

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