Urban development trends Rostock 2040+
The following questions contain your external experts opinion about global trends and their impact on Rostock's future, please rate impact on the scale where 1 means - weak and 7 - heavy. Thank you for your opinion. We publish this opinion poll in the end of our workshops and will evaluate it for updating of Rostocks strategy.

The basic material was developed from City of Munich; see: Zukunftsschau München 2040+

Rostock - a prospering Regiopolis in Baltic Sea
Decreased Engagement in Civil Society
Rostock is facing demands to expand services that were previously limited to independent or volunteer services, such as the Technical Relief Agency or Red Cross.
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This has implications for the management of unexpected situations such as floods, major events and the like.
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Evolution of ”Family”
Even today, there is still in Rostock a significant link between the risk of poverty and family status.
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The requirements for living space for single households, or even single travelers, continue to rise.
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Time Sovereignty as a Status Symbol
The flexibility of employees in Rostock is also growing.
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Rostock is obliged to enable more and more of their employees to determine their own working hours.
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This led in Rostock to various organizational changes, in opening hours for example.
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Youth Dominates
Companies in Rostock increasingly focus on locations whose populations exhibit a lower average age.
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In turn, aging Rostock population is losing its attraction.
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District-related effects that lead to a similar losses in areas with aging populations, are also conceivable.
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This could exacerbate existing problems and result in new forms of social exclusion.
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Health as an Obligation
Health insurance companies are implementing reward systems to encourage healthy behavior.
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Rostock is called upon to strengthen structures and conditions to promote healthy lifestyles.
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As employers, Rostock should increasingly assuming responsibility for the promotion of a healthy lifestyle among their employees.
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Promoting good health should also component in the planning of public spaces and construction projects (e.g. stimulus for running instead of driving etc…).
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Emergence of Digital Identities
All services of Rostock provide their citizens in the future will be in electronic form.
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Privacy guidelines and personality rights are to be respected.
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Rostock is called to task here especially, because they operate with sensitive personal data
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Transformation of Social Milieus
The middle class is the foundation of Rostock community.
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The question arises, what role the middle class will play and how Rostock will remain attractive for the middle class of the future?
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New Social Polarization
Ever more people in Rostock are finding themselves in financial difficulties.
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At the same time, the number of wealthy households in Rostock is growing rapidly, while the middle class is losing influence.
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All markets in Rostock - from real estate to the labour market, to consumer markets – are becoming polarized.
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Rostock is trying to steer these developments toward a different outcome.
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Rostock must offer increased services, health promotion for example, in areas where action is needed. Health care for older residents will also be a challenge.
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The Cost of Age
The growing proportion of older people can be both a curse and a blessing for Rostock.
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On the one hand there is the comparatively high purchasing power of older consumers.
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On the other, older people have time and money to make high demands and to cause impacts
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The potential for conflict in Rostock could grow.
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At the same time, the demands made by the growing number of elderly people for certain goods and services in Rostock are changing.
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Between Post-Ethnian and Islamic Migration Culture
Rostock is becoming more diverse and must cater to vastly different cultural groups
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There is in Rostock a option that services must be multilingual in the future.
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Search for New Social Justice
The people begin to exend social justice beyond the boundaries of their city.
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Rostock could be in key positions in the search for a new social justice, such as free and socially equitable education and training opportunities.
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Rediscovering the Family
Rostock is called upon to increase all of the offerings and services demanded by families.
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These range from child care and recreational facilities to providing appropriate living space.
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New Agility – Between Mirgrant Flows and Laboratory Equipment
This dynamic poses enormous challenges for Rostock.
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On the one hand, the successful integration of migrants in Rostock´s urban society and the labour market, on the other regional employment and the pressures of globalization on value changes and emigration
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Healthcare and Care for the Elderly. A Starting Point for Social Division
It threatens a stronger social spreading in Rostock, no longer depend solely on disposable income, but strongly on individual health conditions respectively. The high cost of care and other social services leads individuals who are themselves part of the middle class, being forced to move to areas with weaker economic structures and social standards.
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Open Access: Knowledge for Free
Knowledge is in Rostock available globally.
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Proximity to scientific sites could lose its importance in Rostock.
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In Rostock the training landscape will change completely.
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Globalization and Virtualization of Tertiary Education in Rostock
Tuition free universities, like Rostock's, could be successful on the increasingly competitive education market.
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Internet of Things Becomes Reality in Rostock
The Internet of things is leading to new, smart services and value creation architectures.
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The Hanseatic City of Rostock, an area with a high population density, accompanied by a high concentration of products, is likely to be particularly affected.
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Logistics Internet Coming in Rostock
Inner-city trade can be made more effective and efficient.
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The effects of transport optimization may be accompanied by a further decline in warehousing in shops and businesses.
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Ubiquitous Computing
With the number of people living in Rostock, all forms of data generation and use are conceivable in Rostock.
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Autonomous Driving and Multimodal Transport Infrastructure
Self-driving cars could have a massive impact on Rostock.
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On the one hand, rural area of Rostock is again tied closer to the city, because travel will be used productively.
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On the other hand, the number of automobiles and the infrastructure they need (space for roads and parking) can be drastically reduced in Rostock by new approaches to sharing.
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Rostock will require the development and construction of multimodal mobility and transport infrastructures.
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New Technologies for the Construction Industry
Rostock could benefit from more cost-effective building designs and construction methods.
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In Rostock that could lower the hurdles for reaching decisions on new construction.
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In Rostock it could also lead to more affordable housing in attractive locations, mitigating the effects of social segregation.
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Clean Mobility in Rostock´s City Center
Rostock must consider the issue of health as a component in the planning of construction projects and public space.
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A stronger prioritization of pedestrian traffic, cycling and the expansion of public transport systems make sense from both health and income (economic polarization) perspectives.
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Automation of Work in Rostock
Large employment losses are expected in Rostock´s industries that have not seen large-scale personnel downsizing (e.g. insurance companies, doctors, etc…)s
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These sectors may, however, will lose in the medium term.
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The question arises in Rostock, whether the affected groups will be able to find employment quickly.
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There are also polarization scenarios - for example in medicine.
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Standard services will be offered automatically.
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Personal service may no longer be affordable everyone.
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Global Competition for Re-industrialization
Now, more than ever, Rostock must rely not solely on its location, but must develop an intelligent policies in the context of Industry 4.0.
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At the same time, innovative concepts of the urban factory may enable in Rostock a departure from the strategy of suburbanizing industrial production.
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New Approaches to Finance Construction and Infrastructure Projects
The development of own and alternative sources of financing could aid the realization of municipal projects in Rostock
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Rostock citizens themselves may activate their own financial resources and allocate them to specific projects.
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End of Saving and Bottomless Financial Speculation
The interest of private business in municipal projects could increase significantly.
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One consequence could be a new wave of privatization.
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Long-term Infrastructure projects may suffer because of the increased focus on projects with short-term return.
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At the same time, prohibitive property prices will make in Rostock living in the inner city unaffordable for many people.
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Farewell to Individual Property
People in Rostock may lose their interest in physical possessions.
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While living space per person is currently growing, it might shrink in the future.
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If you have in Rostock few possessions, fewer private cars, you need less space, fewer parking spaces.
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If this development is made with an eye toward social solidarity, there can be positive effects for society; Should that not be the case at an organizational level, real-estate oligopolies could effect the opposite.
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From Fast Food to Slow Foot
Rostock is increasingly required to ensure a supply of high quality products and food from the region.
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The Comeback of the Retail Trade
While many businesses move to the internet, Rostock remains dominated by small, highly specialized shops with a lot of ambiance and feel-good atmosphere
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Purchasing decisions and the actual handling of merchandise are increasingly separated.
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The amount of physical space required by retailers could go down dramatically
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Recommunalizing Socially Necessary Infrastructure
Rostock is experiencing increased tension between the desires of its citizens, the supply infrastructure under municipal responsibilty, and the financial requirements linked to renewing or building infrastructure.
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Rebound Effects behind Sustainability Engagement
Well-intentioned and often expensive environmental projects in Rostock are at risk of not achieving the desired effects in terms of reduction of pollutants or air quality.
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Rostock runs the risk that self-imposed climate and climate change goals will not be reachable.
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Decentralized Energy
The business model of central energy supply companies, including those operated by Rostock city administration or own companies dominates the regional energy marked
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Instead, the infrastructure for the decentralized storage and distribution of energy will grow.
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Everything Has an Ecological Footprint
Rostock´s services will also be rated according to their ecological footprint.
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Resource Scarcity
In Rostock genuine resource bottlenecks could, in a short time, lead to stagnation in entire industries.
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Rostock should be prepared and rely on a wide variety of value chains.
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The Climate Is No Longer Correct
Rostock may be increasingly affected by climate conditions, crises and natural disasters.
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The heightened sensitivity and awareness of citizens to exceptional events may require municipal authorities to act more preventatively to, among other things, protect its infrastructure.
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The storms and floods around the turn of the year are examples.
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Regional Value Added and Closed Resource Chains
Closed cradle2cradle processes are only possible when regional process chains work in close conjunction
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This could lead in Rostock to the resettlement of entire industrial sectors.
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The importance of regional value-added architectures would increase massively.
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At the same time, cradle2cradle frameworks are fuelling consumption. Under current conditions, closed cycles of resource consumption are a valid argument for consumer disincentives.
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Decentralized Water Systems
These create in Rostock completely new municipal water infrastructures, with a complex systems of fresh and waste water recycling.
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Sustainable water management is possible and popular, but comes at a cost.
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Rostock has an answer to the question of who is responsible for the infrastructure costs or how it hinges on the citizens' willingness to pay.
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Multi-Energy Grids – Energy Infrastructure of the Future
Rostock can be involved in decentralized energy storage.
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Municipal vehicle fleets may be able to store energy. Car parks etc. can be used as energy buffers.
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This will require new business models.
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Post-Democratic Political Structures
At the Rostock city level, there is growing tension between globally accelerated processes and the, in comparison, slow decision-making processes of a city.
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Many investments and projects are global and anonymous, yet have to be decided on a local level.
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Instead of people one knows personally, increasingly anonymous international institutions are involved.
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Under these changed condition, new leadership and structures of governance become necessary.
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Rise of the Regions
The focus moves from the city to the entire region.
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This requires new governance structures and new patterns in cooperation between city and region
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If Rostock region do well, they are important competitive advantages.
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