2019 Economic Forecasting Competition
Forecast the economy and help the DFW Association for Business Economics raise funds to reward a talented economic student!! You don’t need to be a DABE member to enter.

Please submit your entry, along with a suggested donation of $25, to:

To donate via credit card, please fill out the following form on the NABE website. After you submit the form, email Beverly Woodall (DABE Treasurer) at Beverly.Woodall@am.jll.com and let her know you’ve donated via NABE’s website.

Link to NABE Website for credit card donations:

To donate via check, please mail to the address below:
*NOTE: All checks should be written to The NABE Foundation, NOT to DABE.

Treasurer, Dallas/Fort Worth Association for Business Economics
Beverly Woodall
Vice President, Finance
JLL Capital Markets
8343 Douglas Avenue, Suite 100, Dallas, TX 75225

Donations are tax deductible within the limits of the law. Your check is your receipt. You will also receive a return e-mail from The NABE Foundation confirming the donation. Entries must be received or postmarked by March 31, 2018. Funds will be used for cash prizes awarded to winners of the Arthur A. Smith Memorial Award Recognizing Student Excellence in Economics.

All entries are confidential. Only the individual submitting the winning entry will be announced. Quantitative questions will be scored by calculating the mean percent absolute error. Qualitative questions will receive a 0 if correct and a 1 if incorrect. All responses will be weighted equally and the person with the lowest aggregate score is the winner. The winner will be announced at the DFW Association for Business Economics November 2019 luncheon.

Please direct questions about the contest to Julie Wojciechowski at wojciechowski.julie@bls.gov.

Unless otherwise indicated, for monthly data estimate the October value
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Email *
First Name *
Last Name *
Organization *
Monthly Price of Natural Gas, $ per million Btu
Source: EIA (https://goo.gl/EZHwRk)
Monthly Spot Price of Oil, $ per bbl West Texas Intermediate Crude
Source: St. Louis Fed (https://goo.gl/vwjFxP)
Weekly U.S. Retail Gasoline Price, $ per gallon at October 31, 2019
Source: EIA (https://goo.gl/WReoKX)
U.S. National Debt
Source: U.S. Treasury (https://goo.gl/jPB3EC)
Dow Jones Industrial Average
Source: MarketWatch (https://goo.gl/kBu9rC)
Monthly Consumer Price Index-U, All items, % change from previous year
Source: BLS (https://goo.gl/1pssXF)
Latest U.S. GDP Estimate real annualized growth %
Source: BEA (https://goo.gl/GjwYjE)
U.S. Civilian Unemployment Rate, Seasonally-adjusted
Source: BLS/St. Louis Fed (https://goo.gl/aWJCtg)
ISM Manufacturing Index
Source: ISM (https://goo.gl/EoRCz6)
Federal Funds Target Rate (max rate, not range)
Source: Bankrate (https://goo.gl/B5k9jQ)
30-year Mortgage Fixed Rate
Source: Bankrate (https://goo.gl/4HxHy1)
U.S. Single Family Existing Home Inventories, Months supply
Source: St. Louis Fed (https://goo.gl/ZsBxHg) - January 2018 value: 6.1
Texas Single Family Existing Home Inventories, Months supply
Source: TX Real Estate Center (https://goo.gl/huLYKG)
Number of Democratic Presidential Candidates
Number of Fortune 500 Companies in DFW metro
Source: Fortune Magazine (https://goo.gl/XUp5KK)
If you'd like a hard copy, please either print the form before clicking submit, or print the email you receive with your forecasts. Thank you!
A copy of your responses will be emailed to the address you provided.
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