Friday, March 15, 2019 | 12:00 - 1:30 p.m. | GPS 3106 (Ground level conference room)

"The Political Economy Consequences of China's Export Slowdown"

Presenter: Davin Chor, Associate Professor, Tuck School of Business; Globalization Chair, Dartmouth College

Abstract: We examine the recent downturn in China’s export performance and how this has affected domestic political outcomes. In particular, we describe evidence that links the export slowdown to a rise in incidents of labor-related protests at the local prefecture level. These developments were accompanied by an increase in emphasis on upholding stability (“weiwen”) as a political priority. We capture this latter phenomenon through: (i) textual analysis measures computed from prefecture annual work reports; as well as (ii) data on the allocation of local government expenditures towards public security. We discuss how these developments in turn had bearings on the career prospects of local party secretaries.

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Co-presented with Center for Global Transformation

CRW provides a forum for the presentation of original research by China scholars from around the country in social science and humanities, sponsored by the Fudan-UC Center on Contemporary China. To view archive and upcoming workshops list, visit: http://fudan-uc.ucsd.edu/events/workshops.html