Trading rules, a person cannot take a 20-year-old car on a 1,000-mile road trip. A trader must have an account that able to size correctly to bypass the PDT rule.. This is size management, which cannot be done w/o a strategy. Risk management cannot be done without a strategy, psychology as well.

Tips:

-rate at which price moves away from PT, will be the rate it retests.

-supporting price inside range entry model

High probability setups with 100% comes 2 times a week, strategy- plan

Rules:

-must be there to confirm with own 2 eyes (strategy deals with live data)

-breakout mode failure model

-no holidays

-no FOMC

-cannot be 2 time windows at once

-no confirmed trades after 10 AM PST

- don't take someone else live trading advice

- $es shows setups $spy does not show, and vis versa $spx. However, the large liquidity trades set up both.

Non-physical concepts that go into a trade:

-size management

-phycology (20%) i struggle primarily in greed/revenge trading.

-risk management (strictly probability)

-letting the trade come to you

Components that go into a trade:

- primary strategy 2min

-entry

-stop-loss

-time window for entry

-time window underlying trade will play under

-pricetarget

-fixed size

-minimum 70C reward

-max 2-3 entry models (entry model H/R)

Entry and pricetarget are 2 strategies on their own that had to be HEAVILY refined/optimized in time, which is prone to a stop loss as a result.

In other words, all my strategies had to be optimized over time from 1 basic core concept. And this cannot be understated, a lot of things like phycology, risk management, size management fixed themselves over time

These sizings strictly follow my strategy, i wouldn't suggest 30% size per trade for any account, and I wouldn't follow the underlying 30% size management strategy with a different strategy.

Size management is specific to strategy.

Now lets do the inverse thinking, why dont i do 15% or 5% account per trade? Then i would just size down and make that intial 5%, now 30% of my account. I want to use my capital inside my account. Simply i use 30% size since my model says 3 entries per trade, if i needed 10 entries per trade id do 10% size. Strictly based on the entry model hit rate. NOT THAT IM USING 100% my account, 5% can be 100% my account–

1 of 3 things occur when entering a trade, goes 1) BE, 2) profitable 40%- 130% gain, 3) 20%-30% MAX loss, typically 15% loss.

Typically the trade will be prone to a 60% gain and work within the first 2 entries, with a 20% loss or BE.

Model facts:

-50% entry model win rate (2 entries per trade, max loss of 30% per trade)

-93% pricetarget win rate over 2+ years, over 600 setups over 70cents

-30% size per trade, MAX 3 entry models per trade

-70C minimum win rate

February 14, 2025- 5 trades, only 1 viable to take, 1 #smartmoney entry model

February 13, 2025 First 3 trades no RR, 4th trade taken but took a chance on probability, 2 time windows entry occurred for #calls and #puts at the same time, naively i thought take the side that’s closest, but still failed. #mymistake no entry where 2 markets enter, otherwise i can trade 2 sides at once if their entry signals properly, not at the same time, aka separately.

February 12, 2025 failed yet profitable 173% and -20%

February 11, 2025 failed yet profitable

February 10, 2024 -5% and (-10%)

February 7, 2025 -10% and 50% gain plus 150% gain plus 40% gain -10% loss.

February 6, 2025 -10%, 100% gain. 200% at close but unrealistic.

#1 feb 5, 2025 -12%, -42% loss 0DTE is 21% loss before 10 AM PST. Trades after 10am 0DTE have larger % loss but will be managed to 30% loss. Say I lose 1k on 30%, but this trade makes 50% loss. I will size ½ less managing risk and reward.

#2 February 5, 2025 67% gain , 33% loss

Feb 4, 2025

Feb 3, 2025

Jan 31, 2025 50% gain (risked 15%)

Jan 29, 2025 50% gain

Jan 24, 2025 -10%

Jan 22, 2025

Jan 21, 2025 2 breakeven entries

Jan 21, 2025 65%

Jan 21, 2025 60% 10% 5%

Jan 17, 2025 (see how chasing after 2-3 entry is futile)

Jan 16, 2025 60-80%

Jan 16, 2025 40%

Jan 15, 2025 15% 30%

Jan 14, 2025 60% and 120% and 35%

Jan 10, 2025 (20% loss and 10% loss)

Jan 9, 2025 (not typical, I want A+ entry model)

Jan 6, 2025

-1) Gray boxes represent 15- minute time windows I curated through experience, delegating where entry models take place, cutting my potential entry by factor of 3x; as well as the high made during the 15 minute time window, entry is valid below (2nd gray box below example) #smartmoney

-2) This means when a trade is in play ¾ of the market as a WHOLE becomes USELESS/ untradeable)

-3) again i only enter inside gray boxes + A + entry models)

-4) The day I streamline/optimized the strategy by finding out this trick made all the difference)

-5) markets behave in quarters so I look towards ¼ when doing  potential math equations/strategies)

Jan 3, 2025 (nearly failed, and did take following 2 entries as color charted @here) technically missed price target, so forced to abide by the rules

December 30, 2025

December 27, 2024 60-80%

December 26, 2024 40%

December 19, 2025 (2nd trade needed 3rd entry, can be considered since previous 2 entries losses were so minute, otherwise 3 entries MAX to put down a trade)

150% 30% -10% -20%

December 13, 2024 -15% 60%

December 12, 2024 (2-3 entries per trade, A+ inside range simultaneously inside time window represented in gray ) ✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅

December 5, 2024

December 4, 2024

December 3 2024

December 2, 2024 double time setup

November 29, 2024 LOD setup on holiday- no trades on holidays  

November 27, 2024

November 26, 2024

November 25 , 2024 (failed) 2 small losses

November 22, 2024 (Difficult chart to read trading 2 sides at once) both price targets hit.

November 21, 2024 2 sides involving same time model, but downside is clearly a failure model.

November 20, 2024 I can trade 2 sides at once, just need their own separate time window entry, meaning not occurring at the same time,

November 18, 2024

November 13, 2024

November 12, 2024 1hr setup

November 11, 2024

November 8, 2024

November 7, 2024 (1 entry model signaled, after 3 hours, this is likely a failure model)

November 6,  2024 failed

November 5, 2024 (even when fails profit aka smart money is in)

November 4, 2024

October 31, 2024

October 30, 2024

October 25, 2024

October 24, 2024

October 17, 2024

October 16, 2024 double side shows failure model, 2 sides lower probability

October 14, 2024

October 10, 2024

October 9, 2024

October 8, 2024

October 4, 2024

October 3, 2024

October 2, 2024

October 1, 2024 No entry model

September 26, 2024

September 24, 2024

September 20, 2024

September 19, 2024

September 18, 2024 FOMC TRICKY ENTRY MODELS

September 17, 2024 AFTER 10 AM PST 50% HR, but looks good

September 16, 2024 FAILURE MODEL LOW OF DAY/ HOD with OPPOSING volume, like the following example below with no date, failure models are obvious, when theres been a large move way from Pricetarget and not enough volume to reach price target