TOPLINE

OPINION DYNAMICS                                                                     JULY 2010

ODC #7656                                                                        MASSACHUSETTS

Interviewing dates: July 23, 2010 – July 26, 2010

Sample size: N=500

  1. First of all, concerning the economy, how would you rate the present general business conditions in your area:

Good

Normal

Bad

(Don’t know)

July 2010

10%

33

55

3

April 2010

14%

31

53

3

January 2010

  8%

33

57

2

October 2009

  8%

32

58

2

July 2009

  8%

31

59

2

April 2009

14%

33

51

2

January 2009

  4%

23

71

1

October 2008

  9%

32

56

3

July 2008

  7%

35

53

4

  1. Six months from now, do you think general business conditions in your area will be:

Better

The Same

Worse

(Don’t know)

July 2010

27%

51

18

4

April 2010

45%

43

10

3

January 2010

40%

45

11

4

October 2009

33%

42

20

5

July 2009

38%

43

15

4

April 2009

35%

44

18

2

January 2009

22%

37

38

3

October 2008

23%

38

31

8

July 2008

21%

39

32

8

  1. What would you say about available jobs in your area right now? Are there:

Plenty of jobs

Not so many jobs

Jobs hard to get

(Don’t know)

July 2010

  2%

30

57

11

April 2010

  3%

33

58

  6

January 2010

  3%

25

66

  6

October 2009

  3%

30

59

  8

July 2009

  4%

31

57

  8

April 2009

  4%

34

58

  4

January 2009

  3%

30

61

  7

October 2008

  9%

37

41

13

July 2008

  8%

38

40

13

  1. Six months from now, do you think there will be:

More jobs

The same number

Fewer jobs

(Don’t know)

July 2010

21%

45

26

  8

April 2010

42%

39

17

  3

January 2010

36%

41

17

  5

October 2009

30%

37

27

  6

July 2009

29%

42

23

  6

April 2009

27%

39

30

  4

January 2009

18%

27

49

  5

October 2008

13%

34

44

  9

July 2008

15%

35

40

11

5.        What would you guess your total family income to be six months from now:

Higher

The same

Lower

(Don’t know)

July 2010

19%

65

15

2

April 2010

21%

62

16

1

January 2010

17%

66

16

1

October 2009

15%

67

16

2

July 2009

19%

65

14

2

April 2009

15%

67

16

2

January 2009

13%

65

21

1

October 2008

18%

61

17

4

July 2008

18%

62

16

4

  1. In the last year, have you or anyone in your household be involuntarily unemployed for more than 30 days?

Yes

No

(Refused)

July 2010

26%

74

-

January 2010

29%

71

-

October 2009

24%

76

-

October 2008

15%

85

-

January 2007

19%

80

1

January 2006

19%

80

1

October 2005

18%

82

-

January 2005

19%

80

1

October 2004

20%

79

1

 7.        Now, I want to ask you about the big things people buy for their homes--such as furniture, a refrigerator, stove, television, and things like that. Generally speaking, do you think now is a good or a bad time for people to buy major household items?

Good time to buy

Bad time to buy

(Don’t know)

July 2010

40%

47

13

April 2010

49%

40

11

January 2010

45%

46

  9

October 2009

40%

49

11

July 2009

41%

48

11

April 2009

42%

49

  8

January 2009

48%

47

  6

October 2008

29%

62

  9

July 2008

31%

55

15

8.        Looking ahead five years, do you think things in Massachusetts are heading in the right direction or do you think they are off on the wrong track?

Right direction

Wrong track

(Not sure)

July 2010

46%

40

14

April 2010

39%

52

  9

January 2010

41%

46

13

October 2009

41%

50

  9

July 2009

41%

50

10

April 2009

50%

39

11

January 2009

52%

39

  9

October 2008

52%

37

11

July 2008

38%

43

19

9.        On a scale of excellent, good, only fair and poor, how would you rate the job Deval Patrick is doing as Governor of Massachusetts?

Excellent

Good

Only fair

Poor

(Don’t know)

July 2010

1%

24

37

35

4

April 2010

3%

22

42

32

2

January 2010

2%

22

37

38

2

October 2009

2%

22

34

39

2

July 2009

1%

18

44

33

3

April 2009

5%

29

36

28

2

January 2009

4%

31

41

23

2

October 2008

6%

40

38

14

2

July 2008

3%

30

39

21

7

 10.        Whom do you trust more to make the right decisions to deal with taxes and cuts in state programs, the State Legislature or Governor Patrick?

State Legislature

Governor Patrick

(Neither)

(Both)

(Don’t know)

July 2010

46%

21

21

4

  7

January 2010

40%

24

24

5

  6

October 2009

48%

23

24

2

  4

July 2009

46%

22

24

3

  5

April 2009

38%

25

24

8

  5

January 2009

31%

39

19

5

  5

October 2008

32%

42

15

4

  7

July 2008

28%

26

24

7

15

April 2008

39%

28

22

6

  6

11.        Are you registered to vote in Massachusetts?

Yes

   90%

No – SKIP TO Q15

10

(Refused) – SKIP TO Q15

  -

(Q12-Q14 n=452)

12.        Thinking ahead to the 2010 general election for Governor of Massachusetts if the candidates were Republican Charlie Baker, Democrat Deval Patrick and Independent Tim Cahill, for whom would you vote?

Baker

(Lean Baker)

Patrick

(Lean Patrick)

Cahill

(Lean Cahill)

(Don’t know)

July 2010

20%

5

25

5

13

  3

29

April 2010

19%

5

29

5

14

  5

24

January 2010

19%

5

25

5

15

  7

25

October 2009

19%

3

22

6

22

10

19

July 2009

19%

4

20

5

20

  7

24

13.        What if the candidates for Governor were just Republican Charlie Baker and Democrat Deval Patrick, for whom would you vote?

Baker

(Lean Baker)

Patrick

(Lean Patrick)

(Don’t know)

July 2010

35%

7

32

5

22

April 2010

34%

5

35

7

19

January 2010

35%

6

33

4

22

October 2009

37%

8

31

5

18

July 2009

35%

7

32

4

22

14.        How likely are you to vote against the incumbent Democrat in your congressional district in the elections this November: very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all?

Very likely

Somewhat

likely

Not very likely

Not likely

at all

(Don't

know)

July 2010

30%

24

21

18

  8

April 2010

30%

22

18

21

  9

January 2010

31%

20

14

23

13

15.        There has been a lot of attention in Massachusetts and nationally for the “Tea Party” movement, which puts opposition to taxes, government spending and the national health care plan at the top of its agenda.  Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the Tea Party?

Strongly favorable

Somewhat favorable

Somewhat unfavorable

Strongly unfavorable

(Can’t rate)

Never heard

(DK)

July 2010

17%

21

18

28

11

1

4

April 2010

19%

20

14

34

  9

-

3

Now I'd like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.

16.        What is your age?

18-30

    23%

31-45

27

46- 64

34

65 and over

15

(Refused)

  2

17.        What was the last grade you completed in school?

Less than high school (1-11)

     4%

Graduated high school

22

Some college/Tech./Voc.

22

Graduated college

30

Graduate/professional school

20

(Don't know)

  1

(IF Q11 IS REGISTERED. n=452)

18.        How are you registered to vote, as a Democrat, a Republican, or something else?

Democrat

   37%

Republican

14

Independent

40

Something else

  7

(Refused)

  2

19.        In terms of politics, would you say that you are very liberal, somewhat liberal, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?

Very liberal

   10%

Somewhat liberal

38

(Moderate)

  6

Somewhat conservative

29

Very conservative

10

(Don't know)

  6

20.        Do you own your home or do you rent?

Own

   72%

Rent

24

(Don't know/Refused)

  4

21.        Do you have any school age children living at home?

Yes

   31%

No

67

(Refused)

  2

22.        And just for statistical purposes, could you please tell me if your total household income is above or below $60,000 dollars a year?

Below $30,000

   13%

$30,000–$60,000

21

$60,000–$100,000

27

Above $100,000

20

(Refused)

18

23.        Sex:

Female

   53%

Male

47

 

6