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Romania Unchecked

—how a lack of checks and balances, and a disregard for the rule of law, keep the country at the whims of politicians

On October 1st, 2021, after a fire had killed 7 people at a hospital in Constanța, President Iohannis admitted that “the Romanian state failed its fundamental mission to protect the citizens” (Digi24 and Presidency). On August 29th, 2023, after a drugged driver had killed 2 people at the seaside, minister of interior Predoiu admitted that Romania lost the battle with drug abuse among adults (Libertatea and G4Media). A business consultant aptly points out: when individuals (or institutions) behave consistently, the explanation cannot rely on chance alone, but needs to consider that a specific system determines that behavior (Stanciu).

This article argues that the core system that determines Romania’s institutions to exhibit repeated failures, in various walks of life, is the rule of law; actually, a better denomination might be the rule o’flaw (Vrabie). Romania’s rule of law problem is not immediately visible, but is all-pervasive! The state apparatus is almost always under-budgeted, under-staffed, weak and unreliable—also failing to tackle inequality. Individual politicians are more part of the problem than of the solution, but the game of public accountability involves a range of public and international institutions—so far, with questionable results. The constitutional setup and/or political culture may need reform.

Abbreviations 

CCR

Romania’s Constitutional Court

CFREU

Charter of Fundamental Rights of the European Union

CoE

Council of Europe

CSM

Romania’s Superior Council of Magistrates (Judicial Council)

CSO

Civil society organization

CVM

European Commissions’ Cooperation and Verification Mechanism for Bulgaria and Romania

DIICOT

Romania’s prosecution unit specialized against organized crime and terrorism

DNA

Romania’s prosecution unit specialized against corruption (previously PNA)

EC

European Commission

ECHR

European Court of Human Rights

ECJ

European Court of Justice

EPPO

European Public Prosecutor’s Office

EU

European Union

GRECO

Council of Europe’s Group of States Against Corruption

ÎCCJ

Romania’s High Court of Cassation and Justice

OECD

Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

OUG

Emergency ordinances adopted by the Cabinet of ministers

PDL

Democratic Liberal Party, initially affiliated with PES—Party of European Socialists, then with EPP—European People’s Party after 2004; merged with PNL in 2014

PG

Prosecutor general

PLUS

Party (for) Liberty, Unity and Solidarity; merged with USR in 2021, then split away in 2022 under the new name REPER (Renew Romania’s European Project); affiliated with Renew Europe/ALDE—Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe

PM

Prime-minister, head of the Cabinet

PNL

National Liberal Party, affiliated with EPP since 2014, after the merger with PDL; initially affiliated with ALDE

PNRR

Romania’s post-Covid recovery and resilience plan, negotiated with the EU in 2021

PSD

Social Democratic Party, affiliated with PES

SIE

Romania’s external intelligence service

SIIJ

Special section of the Romanian prosecution, in charge of investigating crimes committed by magistrates; reorganized as SUPC since 2022

SNA

Romania’s anti-corruption strategy

SPP

Romania’s protection service for dignitaries

SRI

Romania’s internal intelligence service

STS

Romania’s special telecommunications service

TEU

Treaty of the European Union

UDMR

Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania, also known as RMDSZ, affiliated with EPP

USR

‘Save Romania’ Union, affiliated with Renew Europe/ALDE; merged with PLUS in 2021

Current Situation

On the last Sunday of August 2023, a fuel station exploded close to Bucharest; 5 died and 57 were injured, including 39 firefighters (Libertatea and HotNews). PM Ciolacu announced intensified inspections and controls at all fuel stations (SpotMedia), while local media reviewed the situation on the ground: of the 380 similar stations in Bucharest, 226 are a fire hazard (BdB). In October 2015, the fire at Colectiv killed 64 and injured 146 (Wikipedia). In the days following that fire, then PM Ponta also intensified inspections and controls, but to no lasting effect. Grieved and frustrated, people took to the streets in 2015, protesting political corruption and state capture; not in 2023. PM Ponta felt compelled to resign in November 2015 (DW); PM Ciolacu instead proposed controversial reforms in September 2023 (Europa Liberă).

The general consensus among economists is that Romania’s economy evolves spectacularly well, almost in spite of the government’s economic policies. A 2021 Colliers report ranked Romania 5th in the world for its evolution from 2000-20 (Economedia). At the turn of 2023, Harvard’s Atlas of Economic Complexity ranked Romania 19th in the world, 20 seats higher than in 2000 (Adevărul). Yet, the executive director of a business owners’ association says the economy has overheated at least since 2014-17—with ‘wage-led growth’, and imports, and unrealistic levels for salaries and pensions (especially in the public sector), and fiscal policies not accompanied by structural reforms (Burnete).

The minister of finance declared that Romania’s budget deficit reached ~€9 bn (Digi24). Due to tax evasion alone, the budget fails to collect ~€30 bn/year in revenues (Petreanu). Graph 1 shows that government effectiveness is not only poor, but also quite expensive, when compared to other countries—which reinforces the perception of corruption (see Graph 2). An alternative explanation for such poor government effectiveness relies on discretionary power: The Romanian government is notorious for not making evidence-based policy decisions (OECD), and for not considering public participation in decision-making (Mitruțiu, Dilema Veche, again Burnete, and again OECD).

Graph 1. Cost of government effectiveness in Europe, 2020-21

source: Thomas Prorok, KDZ, August 2022

Thus, the biggest challenge for the Romanian government is at the confluence of economy and society. Romania ranks quite poorly on income distribution and income inequality, (Eurostat and Monitorul Social). Hence, political decisions that reinforce economic and social inequalities feed back into an emotionally charged news cycle: 69% of Romanians avoid the news (Draft Four); Table 1 illustrates why. As a result, Romanians either turn to extremist political movements, or disengage from politics altogether: voter turnout gradually dropped to 32% in 2020 (Mediafax), while combined support for anti-system parties rose in 2023 to ~25% of those who intend to vote (HotNews). Absenteeism of this scale is partly explained by emigration—about 4 million or more simply fled the country since the 1990s (OECD; also, HotNews).

Framework and Flaws

Almost all emergency situations appear to involve some crooked politician or some failure of a state institution, eroding trust in any form of justice—a judicial reform activist concludes that law enforcement is weak and selective (Ștefan). Civic involvement in decision-making, or public scrutiny thereof, is infrequent, and often takes the form of furious mass protests (see Table 2). Not surprisingly, Romania ranks last among EU member-states on the Economist’s Democracy Index, with an extremely low score on ‘political culture’ (Romania Insider). Romania ranks similarly poor on ‘participation’ in the Global State of Democracy indices (IDEA). Under these circumstances, one may understand more easily why the Romanian government runs mostly on discretionary power. But, since public participation cannot be expected to exercise effective oversight, what other safeguards does Romania have, in order to prevent the government’s discretion from turning into outright arbitrariness?

Tom Bingham writes in the Epilogue of his 2011 book on The Rule of Law that “The concept of the rule of law is not fixed for all time. Some countries do not subscribe to it fully, and some subscribe only in name, if that.” This article will not follow Bingham’s framework of 8+2 principles to analyze Romania’s rule of law; neither the 6 principles of the Meijers Committee (with their very technical jurisprudence review); nor the elliptical wording in Article 2 TEU; nor the extensive methodology of the EU Rule of Law Report; nor the Venice Commission’s Rule of Law Checklist (CoE). Any such approach would miss the forest for the trees, as recently observed by several journalists (Judecata de Acum and Dilema Veche). Instead, a simplified framework (inspired from all of the above) is enough to focus the reader’s attention to these three specific questions:

(See B. Dima in Eastern Focus, 2019, along with S. James in The Encyclopedia of Political Thought, 2015; also, L. Sirota in Verfassungsblog, 2023; respectively, Article 1 CFREU.)

The original arrangement of the 1991 Constitution mirrored the principle that no actor should be able to capture the entirety of political power. Such a concern is understandable for a country that, in 1989, emerged from more than 50 years of consecutive dictatorships (fascist and communist). The executive, legislature and judiciary were, each, internally disjoint by design—the president and prime-minister had different powers in the executive, the bicameral parliament and the constitutional court had opposing prerogatives in the legislature, while the supreme court and judicial council had separate jurisdictions within the judiciary. The 2003 amendments to the Constitution introduced three significant changes:

The post-2003 constitutional arrangement opened an opportunity for state capture by one of the political actors. PSD proved to be tenacious enough, even though their moves were rather tactical, incremental adjustments—not strategically planned (another meaning for the flaw in the rule o’flaw). Until the early 2010s, PNL seemed to have protected the system of checks and balances against PSD, but finally caved under pressure from the third political actor: former President Băsescu and his former party (PDL) were largely responsible for straining the system in their favor during 2004-14, which created the counter-reaction of PNL joining forces with PSD.

Each of the three significant changes to the Constitution was animated by good intentions, but resulted in defective decisions. Taken separately, none of them would have affected too much the constraints on the (ab)use of power; together, however, they gradually changed the system of checks and balances: The ‘civil society representatives’ in CSM actually function as a political prop for the governing coalition, especially against prosecutors. The staggered mandates for Parliament and President will realign in 2024, allowing for a PSD-PNL alliance to grab absolute majorities (over 50%) in all rounds of elections (Libertatea). And the CCR justices already form a majority set to turn a blind eye to the toxic decisions of the governing coalition.

Without effective constraints on the (ab)use of power, political corruption is ripe. Public perception of corruption is rather stagnant over the last decade (see Graph 2). The EC’s Rule of Law Report is rather lenient when it comes to corruption (see chapter on Romania), possibly supporting the political decisions of November 2022 and September 2023 to lift the CVM after 15 years (EC and Agerpres). Yet, GRECO is more demanding, and tackles explicit deficiencies in Romania’s system of checks and balances (CoE). Romania’s own anti-corruption strategy fails to mention any of the constraints on the (ab)use of power, so no surprise—none of the public institutions feels compelled to take action (SNA). Romania’s evolution on the Rule of Law Index tends to confirm GRECO’s, rather than EC’s findings, since Romania scores consistently below the regional average on all 8 factors (WJP).

Graph 2. CPI for Romania, and relative evolution against the European average, 1997-2022

source: data from Transparency International’s Corruption Perception Index (CPI); methodology from Piața de șpagă; caveats explained by Vrabie, January 2023

Along with the three significant changes of 2003, emergency ordinances and the ombudsman are two more constitutional features that need consideration. OUGs were recently criticized (again) in the GRECO report (CoE), but they are a nuisance that can be traced back in time at least to EC’s Barroso ‘to-do list’ of 2012 (Euractiv). In theory, OUGs embody the Parliament’s delegation of legislative power to the Cabinet; in practice, delegation of such power is almost unrestricted and unbound, and hence consistently abused by all Cabinets since 1997: A country cannot genuinely face a full decade with an average of 2 emergencies requiring regulatory action every week (see Graph 3).

Graph 3. Emergency ordinances (OUGs) per year, and subsequent averages per week, 1991-2023

source: Vrabie in Eastern Focus, 2019, updated; data from Legislative Council, capped at the end of August 2023; note that genuine emergencies, such as the Covid pandemic or the Russian invasion in Ukraine, had no significant impact on the weekly averages of 2020-23

While adopted by the Cabinet, OUGs have the same legal power as the acts of Parliament; yet, their publication in the official journal, and subsequent coming into force, does not depend on being promulgated by the President. The ombudsman is the only institution that can preclude (or delay) OUGs from publication in the official journal—it has direct and unrestricted recourse to ask CCR for an ex ante constitutional review. And, given that the ombudsman could be appointed or removed by the two Chambers, s/he tends to serve the interests of the parliamentary majority that supports the Cabinet. Only in 2021 did CCR decide that the ombudsman’s removal is not at the full discretion of Parliament (Europa Liberă).

The five elements discussed above paint a rather bleak picture of the constitutional arrangement: If a Cabinet has a shaky foundation in the parliamentary majority, the PM can still enjoy discretionary power through OUGs. In such a case, with the President effectively taken out of the game, the PM may play the odds against both the ombudsman and CCR. If skilled enough to get a couple of victories, such a PM may engineer a different majority in Parliament (vote buying is not uncommon, but was never proven in courts). To wit, in the last decade, Victor Ponta (PSD) led 4 Cabinets, Liviu Dragnea (PSD) engineered 3, and Ludovic Orban (PNL) bred 3 others; Nicolae Ciucă (PNL) and Marcel Ciolacu (PSD) took turns at the head of 2 consecutive Cabinets that represent roughly the same majority (see Table 2).

In contrast, if the PM were to enjoy a stable majority in Parliament, a supportive ombudsman, a favorable President, a bit of influence at CSM, and an accommodating CCR, the system of checks and balances would simply fail. Merely by accident, Romania has never seen such a concentration of power. The average duration of all the Cabinets formed since February 2012 is only 10 months, meaning that the exercise of political power tends to be short-lived. Thus, even though Romania is quite permeable to authoritarian tendencies (Vrabie), the Romanian politicians have not yet managed to align all the elements. In this sense, an electoral alliance of PSD and PNL for the mega-electoral year 2024 may be outright dangerous to the rule of law (Libertatea; also, Monitorul Social). Yet, about half of Romania’s population still equates a lack of democracy with the severe poverty of the 1980s (În Centru), so the elections of 2024 may still be ‘safe’.

Analysis and Discussion

The constitutional features reviewed above already offer answers to two of the original questions: Because of OUGs, Romania does not really have a clear rule about how other rules change. And, largely for the same reason, Romania does not have effective constraints on the (ab)use of power. Discretionary power is terribly widespread in all branches of government, and decision-makers are not in the habit of checking for the unintended consequences of their actions.

In his first mandate (2004-09), President Băsescu used his discretionary power to modify the majority in Parliament, disregarding the potential effects of infuriating PSD. Then, he declared corruption a risk to national security, not considering that SRI might get a foot in the judiciary. He also schemed to get a friendly majority at CCR, which backfired in 2014, when Parliament was allowed to appoint a new Cabinet (Ponta III) without a governing program (Digi24).

In 2012, PM Ponta of PSD and his allies from PNL decided on a range of actions tantamount to a coup d’état (Euractiv). The situation escalated to the point where EC’s Barroso intervened, handing PM Ponta an 11-point ‘to-do list’ (again, Euractiv). Hence, Ponta’s power of negotiation diminished: In 2012-13, he sought to appoint a favorable prosecutor general (Digi24), but Băsescu imposed former PG Kövesi (2006-13) as the new chief at DNA (2013-18).

Possibly from 2005 onwards, but documented since 2011, SRI had signed secret protocols with the general prosecution, the judicial council, possibly even with the supreme court. The protocols were leaked to the press in 2018, creating the impression that SRI was deep into manipulating criminal investigations (Curaj Înainte). Politicians cried that SRI and DNA may have colluded to ‘cleanse’ the political elite, yet no criminal sentence got overturned on these grounds.

The 2018 scandal with SRI was predicated on two CCR decisions of 2016:

After the 2016 elections, Liviu Dragnea (PSD) and his three consecutive PMs piggybacked on the situation created with DNA, SRI and CCR: Unable to become PM himself (convicted in 2016 for corruption, Mediafax), Dragnea created a narrative about the ‘deep state’ that put politicians in prison, and unleashed a political process meant to eliminate judicial control over the executive: changes to the three laws on the judiciary, changes to the Criminal Codes, and the revocation of Kövesi from DNA.

As a result, since 2017-18, CSM no longer works in plenum, but in two separate sections, almost demoting the prosecutors’ statute of magistrates (Venice Commission, 2018 and 2022), as well as undermining the judges’ independence (Chiș). SIIJ was meant to counterbalance DNA—in theory, SIIJ would prosecute crimes committed by magistrates; in practice, it persecuted magistrates that put politicians behind bars. Though SIIJ now allows the statute of limitations to wither off cases (Digi24, RFI and Europa Liberă), magistrates are still not safe in relation to politicians.

With a different majority, CCR mingled with the statute of limitations in two decisions of 2018 and 2022. In essence, the Code of Criminal Procedure now allows for a very short period of time to discover a crime, go through investigation, indictment, trial, appeal, recourse, conviction, and the execution of the court sentence; the most affected are complex cases of fraud and corruption that involve politicians (Judecata de Acum). Parliament, of course, has no incentive to regulate a more favorable text for prosecutors.

While the rule of law does not rely solely on prosecutors, the political actions of 2017-18 (the three laws of the judiciary with CSM and SIIJ, the statute of limitations and Kövesi’s revocation) sent a chilling effect throughout the judiciary (FJR and Funky Citizens): Politicians enjoy just enough discretionary power that they can always subdue the judiciary, in spite of international safeguards for the rule of law. And the major political parties (especially PSD and PNL) maintain the view that political power is to be exercised unrestrained.

Kövesi’s successful bid to run EPPO since October 2019 was not enough to ‘avenge’ Romanian magistrates against their own politicians. Instead, her revocation from DNA in 2018 (HotNews) effected the unintended consequence of spreading more discretionary power (see also B. Iancu in Dima & Perju, 2023). The combination of the following three judicial decisions at European level, Romanian judges may extend their adjudication beyond the legal restrictions inscribed in the procedure codes:

The landscape of discretionary power described above is bound to affect human rights, as well. Table 1 already paints the dark picture of a society affected by systemic violence, but the effects are quite dire for the Roma (and Hungarian) minority (CRJ), some religious minorities (Să fie lumină), the LGBT+ community (Monitorul Social), immigrants (Recorder and Digi24), the disabled (CRJ), and for women and youth/children in general (Filia and Eurostat). The ombudsman (established 1997) should play a key role, but the institution is prized for its role regarding OUGs, not for protecting human rights and dignity. Not even CCR is very keen on protecting human rights and/or, indeed, human dignity (V. Perju in Dima & Perju, 2023).

Where the ombudsman and other authorities fail to protect human dignity, CSOs intervene. But the government loathes the CSOs’ clout with international organizations, and attempts to silence them repeatedly. Civic activists had the hardest time during the Dragnea Cabinets, but PM Ciolacu’s legislative package of September 2023 targets diverting sponsorship funds into covering the budget deficit (G4Media). One of the (potentially) most affected CSOs is building the first hospital in more than 30 years, while the Cabinet recently renounced €740 mn from the PNRR dedicated to health infrastructure (Economedia).

The ‘referendum for family’ of 2018 is illustrative for the interplay of human rights and discretionary power: Voter turnout failed to reach the validation threshold, as the referendum was silently boycotted in society (DW). But CCR’s interpretation still holds that marriage unites a man and a woman, in spite of the Constitution (art. 48) that reads ‘spouses’. Also, in spite of an ECJ decision of 2018 (Curia), Romania still offers no protection to LGBT+ couples, and was convicted at ECHR in 2023 (ECHR). Instead of complying, Romania played the traditionalist card, and appealed (G4Media).

But disregard for human dignity peaked during the Covid pandemic. President Iohannis, along with PM Orban and the CCR majority, sponsored a resurgence of the secret services (and the military): Early in 2020, Romania notified a derogation from the European Convention on Human Rights (HotNews), and effectively classified all decisions and procurement related to managing the health crisis (Rise Project). As a result, from the start of the vaccination campaign in 2021, ordinary citizens and even medical staff lost priority to ‘essential personnel’ and their cronies (SpotMedia).

Throughout the pandemic, the secret service in charge of communications increased its influence. STS started with the vaccination platform, but gradually expanded into other areas of central administration, with ‘infrastructure support for digitalization’, alongside SRI and SIE; SPP also seems involved, covertly. Only one Romanian CSO is specialized in legal and civic scrutiny of cyber-security (ApTI), and they can barely keep up with all the changes, both domestic and European (Context). The government’s discretionary power, once again, creates more unintended consequences.

Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the military and secret services seem more powerful in influencing decision-making. As PM Ciucă (2021-23) was a retired general, the Romanian government recently adopted a security narrative that enforces two opposing, but excessive and costly, attitudes among dignitaries and civil servants: Either “I’m afraid of making (the right) decisions, because law enforcement is discretionary and will crush me” or “I’m not afraid of making (even illegal) decisions, because law enforcement is discretionary and won’t touch me” (Judecata de Acum). These attitudes and the underlying notion of ‘selective impunity’ hint at how ineffective the prosecution has become in recent years (especially DNA and DIICOT).

Both attitudes are widespread among the three branches of government, and may be traced back to more discretionary decisions that never considered the unintended consequences:

Adding insult to injury, the legal framework allows political parties to get a subsidy bonus for female candidates in eligible places on the party list, but requires no repayment of the bonus, should the female candidates resign. As a consequence, internal organizational policies of political parties, especially at local level, ‘encourage’ women to resign from their elected positions in favor of male candidates placed lower on the list (Vrabie; also, FES). Not only do women get under-represented in politics (Expert Forum), but such a behavior effectively precludes decisions serving their interests (Filia).

The plethora of mistakes in decision-making analyzed above leaves doubts with respect to the actual competencies of Romania’s politicians. The topic was tossed and turned for some time (Table 2, Șercan and Nicolae), but not even President Iohannis agreed to a 2015 civil society request to introduce integrity and competency criteria for ministers (Mediafax). The regrettable downside is that, perforce, PSD and PNL gradually turned illiberal ‘by mistake’ (Vrabie): Their lack of integrity compels them to cover for mistakes, rather than be accountable; and the decisions that cover mistakes are, in their turn, additional mistakes that build a vicious circle of anti-accountability.

Conclusions

The systemic flaws of the constitutional text allow for widespread discretionary power across all branches of the Romanian government. OUGs effectively preclude the existence, or enforcement, of a rule about how other rules change. Along with OUGs, the interplay of high level institutions in the three branches of government brought about increasingly weaker constraints on the arbitrary abuse of power. In fact, the two major parties currently governing together (PSD and PNL) embrace the opinion that political power should be exercised unrestrained and unbound. The only political objective that seems to keep them in check is the commitment to OECD accession, coated as “a rules-based international order” (OECD).

With OUGs so frequent (see Graph 3) and discretionary power so widespread, the government makes decisions that exhibit no respect for human dignity. Either due to corruption (Graph 2) or mere incompetence, government effectiveness in Romania is poorer and more expensive than in neighboring countries (Graph 1). The dissolution of the system of checks and balances (especially the judiciary, 2017-22) made Romania attractive for all sorts of scoundrels (see the brothers Tate at BBC, in Table 1). Coming full circle on discretionary power and disrespect for human dignity, Romania reached, in 2022, the top of the EU member-states convicted at ECHR for inhumane and degrading treatments (Europa Liberă). It follows that, while the judiciary ought to check and balance political power, magistrates are not pristine themselves.

While most analysts consider PSD to be the villain in the story of Romania’s rule o’flaw, another story emerges from the sequence of the 2012-23 decisions and political choices: Rather than a calculated actor, endowed with strategic planning, PSD (and its allies) reacted to the environment, with tactical and incremental adjustments. PSD was just tenacious in pursuing its agenda, and wily in  sharing power with PNL—the rational choice for pursuing the benefits of a mega-electoral 2024. Only time can tell whether this latest adjustment would work in their favor or if the next fire will burn down everything. But, once a political regime could bypass the constraints to exercising political power, as well as the rule about changing the rules, Romania might fall prey to state capture, with dire effects on human dignity, too.

The latest GRECO report points that Romania should fix the fundamental problem of emergency ordinances; OECD has a similar request. The best course of action would be amending the Constitution, but politicians would not easily agree to abandoning their favorite ‘toy’. Political parties do not have incentives for an improved selection of candidates, either—in spite of civil society demanding competency and integrity as the ultimate criteria. Under these circumstances, CCR and the ombudsman are the key institutions, should they choose to assume larger (or higher-order) responsibilities. Constitutionally, they are the only ones that can restrain the (ab)use of power, enforce the fundamental rules of the political game, and restore respect for human dignity.

=== 4336 words to here ===

(discounting the abbreviations table, graphs, titles, and references)

Epilogue

On 26 December, another fire killed 8 people at a guest house in Prahova County (Europa Liberă). The guest house should have been closed since 2019, but kept functioning without several authorizations (also, Europa Liberă). Across the country, over 3.000 tourist attractions function in similar conditions, according to the national inspectorate for emergency situations (again, Europa Liberă). The owners of the guest house, as well as the chief compliance inspectors of Prahova County, were suspected of wrongdoings for several years, but all investigations were closed for lack of sufficient evidence. Political interference and connections may explain why none of the oversight authorities made a decisive move to shut down the guest house.

In fact, all forms of social and political oversight are under fire: The gambling industry closed down Gazeta Sporturilor, and wiped out the editorial team at Libertatea—these were the last mainstream publications that employed investigative journalism. The real estate industry closed down Miliția Spirituală, and pushed Salvați Bucureștiul towards insolvency—both civil society organizations fought for enforcing environmental regulations in Bucharest. By the same token, PG Alex Florența (appointed in March by President Iohannis) refuses to reopen the investigation into the kompromat case, where police leaked evidence from the Emilia Șercan file to a network of websites operated by a known criminal (PressOne).

Meanwhile, PM Ciolacu’s fiscal and budget reforms placed additional burdens on entrepreneurs, without any guarantees for closing the budget deficit (Funky Citizens). Yet, budget subsidies for political parties (not just campaign finance money!) is at the highest level ever, despite the fact that no transparency is required or enforced regarding political expenditures (Expert Forum). Most probably, this money will fuel misinformation during the upcoming electoral campaigns—sugar coating and window dressing of realities, to the benefit of the PSD and PNL incumbents. Thus, Romania seems headed on the path of gambling its future development, rather than checking on the decisions that might guarantee sustainable and democratic progress.

Author Note

Codru Vrabie is an independent activist, trainer and consultant on matters of good governance, with a focus on judicial and administrative reforms. Codru has worked with a variety of civil society organizations since 1998, but is no longer affiliated with any CSO since 2020. He wrote this article for Kultura Liberalna/Let Law Rule as a sequel to his cooperation with GlobalFocus Centre. Since 2010, Codru is an external contractor for the Rule of Law Programme South-East Europe at the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, as one of the trainers in the Leaders for Justice Program; in 2021, he hosted the podcast Rule of Law Rules (in Romanian), produced by KAS/RLPSEE.

Codru Vrabie extends his gratitude to Oana Popescu-Zamfir, Radostina Pavlova, Doru Toma and especially Cristian Lupșa for their help in editing and fine tuning the final version of this article. All the information in this article was current at the time of writing, in September-October 2023.

Tables

Table 1. Sample list of events from summer 2023 

Date & Source

Subject matter

Jul. 6, CIM & BdB

DIICOT investigates a case of organized crime related to several healthcare centers in Voluntari, next to Bucharest; 24 people are detained in connection to elderly and disabled persons that were ‘cared for’ in appalling conditions, while the owners were milking state subsidies for healthcare, benefiting from political protection; the case was initially dubbed “Cristina’s camps” (direct reference to concentration camps), then “Ilfov camps” (due to their location in Ilfov county), and later became the “healthcare horror” scandal.

Jul. 10, CIM & BdB

A series of articles dubbed “they all knew” exposes the network of public institutions and political figures that were supposed to act in the “healthcare horror” scandal, but chose to ignore the situation, months before the original article that was published in February; the most prominent political figures identified are the minister of labor, the minister of family and the mayor of Voluntari.

Jul. 13, HotNews

Minister of labor Marius Budăi resigns in relation to the “healthcare horror” scandal; he claims the responsibility lies with the local and county authorities having jurisdiction in Voluntari, but conveniently ignores that he had decided in April to ban all impromptu civil society inspections at the healthcare centers.

Jul. 14, HotNews

Minister of family Gabriela Firea resigns from all political positions, except that of senator; she claims the “healthcare horror” scandal was orchestrated to impede her candidacy as mayor of Bucharest in the local elections of fall 2024; she also denies any connection to the healthcare centers of Voluntari, where her husband is the current mayor.

Jul. 24, CluJust & PressHub

ÎCCJ and CSM reinstate a judge after 9 years, confirming the statute of limitation regarding the charge for receiving a bribe; she had initially been sentenced to 7 years in prison; the interplay of appeals and exceptions raised with various courts allowed her to never serve a day in prison; upon reinstatement, she not only gets to run the civil section of the Constanța Tribunal, but also receives back payments on her salary, amounting to about €600,000.

Jul. 27, Europa Liberă

ÎCCJ acquits former Securitate officers that may have ordered in 1985 the torture and killing of anti-communist dissident Gheorghe Ursu; while the verdict may be legally sound, the arguments put forth by the 3-judge panel demonstrate a serious incapacity to discern the evils of the communist dictatorship, to separate right from wrong in recent history.

Jul. 28, Pro-TV

Close to Tg. Mureș, an impromptu inspection by civil society activists discovers 7 people in the basement of a healthcare facility; 13 are immediately removed from the premises to the emergency room of a nearby hospital; the case comes less than 1 month after the “healthcare horror” scandal, and 2 days after the facility had been inspected officially.

Jul. 31, Pro-TV

In Urziceni, a young woman gives birth on the sidewalk in front of the hospital, because the only obstetrics doctor there cannot cover all shifts; a Roma rights activist accuses racism and discrimination (Investigatoria).

Aug. 8, Agerpres

Former chiefs of riot police get indicted for abuse of office related to the street protests of 10 Aug. 2018, when 300+ were injured for speaking against the Dragnea regime and PM Dăncilă’s Cabinet; DW deplores that not all culprits are included in the indictment, notably not those responsible politically.

Aug. 8, HotNews

In Cluj, at the end of a music festival, the riot police fines an artist for profanity and disturbing the peace, and presses charges at the anti-discrimination council.

Aug. 16, Adevărul

At the seaside, tourists get into a fist-fight with lifeguards, in spite of red and yellow flag restrictions to swimming; four individuals die attempting to save kids from drowning.

Aug. 21, Republica

An old snitch to the former Securitate (secret police of the communist regime) receives an honorable funeral and praise, in spite of (alleged) responsibility for contributing to the 1988 killing of a former director at Radio Free Europe.

Aug. 22, G4Media

A young lady dies in the Botoșani hospital, gasping for air, after suffering a spontaneous miscarriage, because the doctors there lack the medical protocol for such a situation.

Aug. 23, BBC

Evidence from Romanian prosecutors exposes sexual violence and mental coercion against women, by former kickboxers now charged with rape an human trafficking.

Aug. 24, Libertatea

At the seaside, a nouveau-riche young man driving under the influence kills two teens in the 2 Mai resort, because traffic police has no equipment and no protocol for preventing abuse of alcohol and/or drugs.

Aug. 26, G4Media

The government seeks to reverse the ECHR decision of May, whereby Romania was convicted for not yet adopting legislation recognizing, and offering legal protection to, same-sex couples or families (note that a referendum attempting to ban same-sex marriage failed in October 2018; however, a CCR decision from September 2018 allows the interpretation that only a common-law union, and not marriage, could protect same-sex couples).

Aug. 28, Libertatea

Vice-minister of economy Lucian Rus admits that consultations on Romania’s ‘new’ tourism strategy started from a document drafted in 2018; sources from the ministry point out that the World Bank had helped with the original document, but the ministry has ignored it for 5 years.

Aug. 28, PressHub

Newly appointed minister of family Natalia Intotero bullies civil society representatives at a public consultation on child protection; she claims that impromptu civil society inspections in childcare centers are prohibited by GDPR; the situation is almost identical to what happened in April at the ministry of labor (see above details about the “healthcare horror” scandal; also, IPPF).

Aug. 29, Digi24

Minister of finance Marcel Boloș claims that expenditure with Ukrainian refugees affected the budget deficit; Context proves that EU money (~€1.5 mn) earmarked for their food and lodging remained unspent, and ~25,000 refugees were forced to leave the country.

Aug. 29, G4Media

In the aftermath of the 2 Mai resort case, minister of interior Cătălin Predoiu declares that Romania lost the battle with illegal drugs among adults; he proposes to tackle drug abuse among minors, but effectively passes the buck, transferring responsibility to parents and schools.

Table 2. Timeline of major events, 2012-23

Date

Event

Dec. 1991

Romania adopts post-communist Constitution by referendum.

Oct. 2003

Romania adopts amendments to the Constitution, also by referendum.

Feb. 2012

Mass protests intensify against the government; they had started in January, opposing the discretionary health reform, and quickly turning anti-presidential; corruption is a major topic of concern; they continue through to April-May.

Parliament appoints PM Mihai Răzvan Ungureanu, after the no confidence vote against the second Cabinet of PM Emil Boc (PDL); Ungureanu puts a somewhat technocratic touch on the same coalition, but the Cabinet is still very political.

May 2012

Parliament appoints PM Victor Ponta, after the no confidence vote against Ungureanu; Ponta leads a new coalition (PSD, PNL and some former allies of PDL), with a vengeful political agenda.

Minister of education Ioan Mang is accused of plagiarism in his doctoral thesis.

Jun. 2012

The electoral coalition of PSD and PNL wins the local elections with almost 50%, boosting PM Ponta’s political ambitions.

Former PM Adrian Năstase (PSD, 2000-04) is found guilty on charges of corruption; his 2 years sentence is suspended (does not go to prison), but can no longer take on public office.

PM Ponta is accused of plagiarism in his doctoral thesis; he lost his title in 2016.

Minister of education Liviu Pop dismantles the national council in charge of verifying doctoral theses (HotNews); his action effectively supports PM Ponta’s position.

Jul. 2012

Parliament suspends President Băsescu, and calls for an impeachment referendum; Crin Antonescu (PNL) becomes interim president.

Mass protests continue on corruption, plagiarism, pro- and anti- various politicians, but shale gas/fracking becomes a salient topic; anti-fracking protests last till Nov. 2014.

EC’s Barroso hands PM Ponta an 11-point ‘to-do list’ (Euractiv).

The impeachment referendum harvests 87% against President Băsescu.

Aug. 2012

CCR invalidates the results of the impeachment referendum for not meeting the quorum (only 46% participation, instead of the minimum 50%); Băsescu returns with all powers restored.

Sep. 2012

Roma activists protest against racism and discrimination; the rest of society ignores the topic.

Dec. 2012

The same electoral coalition of PSD and PNL wins the parliamentary elections in a landslide, with 66%.

After the elections, Parliament reappoints PM Ponta at the head of a new coalition (PSD and PNL).

May 2013

PM Ponta (as interim minister of justice) and President Băsescu negotiate the leadership of the prosecution, ignoring the CSM advice (Digi24). Former general prosecutor Laura Codruța Kövesi (2006-13), perceived as Băsescu’s ally, got ‘demoted’ to head DNA; in turn, the new general prosecutor Tiberiu Nițu (2013-16) appeared as Ponta’s friend; and Alina Bica became the new head of DIICOT (2013-14), while she was perceived as a friend of PDL. Both Bica and Nițu were later investigated by Kövesi’s DNA—Bica was convicted in 2018, while Nițu fended off the charges, and then retired in 2020.

Sep. 2013

Start of weekly mass protests against the gold mine at Roșia Montana; the agenda includes corruption and other topics, until Jan. 2014.

Jan. 2014

Former PM Năstase is found guilty in a second case of corruption; this time, he goes to prison for 4 years.

Minister of culture Gigel Știrbu is accused of plagiarism in his doctoral thesis.

Feb. 2014

After PNL retires from the Ponta II Cabinet, PM Ponta engineers a new coalition with UDMR and other political factions, and gets reconfirmed in Parliament.

Mar. 2014

CCR confirms that Parliament was in its right to appoint a new Cabinet (Ponta III) without a (new) governing program (Digi24); UDMR leaves the coalition, but a split group from PNL rejoins.

May 2014

PSD wins the elections for the European Parliament with about 37%; PNL comes a distant second, with only 15%.

Jul. 2014

PNL absorbs former rival PDL; the merger is confirmed by the court in October.

Nov. 2014

Klaus Iohannis (PNL) wins the presidential elections against PM Victor Ponta (PSD); PM Ponta is accused of tampering with voting procedures, especially at polling stations abroad; at the end of December, Iohannis takes over from Traian Băsescu (formerly PDL), whose second mandate ends.

Dec. 2014

Adjusting for the results of the presidential campaign, Parliament approves a reshuffled Ponta IV Cabinet, but the coalition remains largely the same.

Jan. 2015

Attempting to save face after the electoral scandal of Nov. 2014, Parliament considers amendments to all legislation concerning political parties, party finance and elections (not referendum, though); while CSOs are invited to contribute, not all of their input is included, and the laws come out rather flawed.

Aug. 2015

Mihai Tudose (future PM in 2017) is accused of plagiarism in his doctoral thesis; he renounced the title in 2016, but tried to recover it in court, and lost, in 2020.

Oct. 2015

The fire at the Colectiv club results in 64 killed and 146 injured (Wikipedia); mass protests ensue, corruption and renewal of the political class being the major topics; some of the social outrage gets political expression with USR and PLUS.

Nov. 2015

Parliament appoints PM Dacian Cioloș, after Ponta felt compelled to resign (DW); Cioloș leads a ‘technocratic’ team, veiled under parliamentary support from PSD and PNL.

CSOs asked President Iohannis to persuade political parties into adopting a set of integrity and competency criteria for future ministers and other candidates in elections; Iohannis ignored the request.

By this time, Parliament passed, and President promulgated, six laws concerning political parties, party finance and elections; USR and PLUS were the most visible outcomes.

Feb. 2016

CCR bans SRI from getting involved in criminal cases, including wiretaps and other surveillance measures.

Mar. 2016

Interim PG Bogdan Licu (now a justice at CCR, since 2022) is suspected of plagiarism in his doctoral thesis, and renounces the title.

Jun. 2016

PSD wins the local elections with about 40%, but PNL gets a very close 30% after absorbing PDL.

Jul. 2016

CCR forces a new interpretation of the Criminal Code regarding the crime of ‘abuse of office.’

Former minister of interior Petre Tobă is suspected of plagiarism in his doctoral thesis. Also, Former Vice-PM Gabriel Oprea loses his doctoral title, on account of plagiarism; his appeal was rejected in 2018; he filed recourse in 2022, but might not get a favorable verdict soon.

Oct. 2016

Former PG and current DNA chief Laura Codruța Kövesi is suspected of plagiarism in her doctoral thesis (PressOne).

Dec. 2016

PSD wins the parliamentary elections; with 45%, PSD’s Liviu Dragnea eyes the PM position, but is denied on account of his being convicted for corruption charges.

Jan. 2017

After the elections, Parliament appoints PM Sorin Grindeanu (PSD); one coalition partner is a split faction from PNL, but the moral leadership stays with PSD’s Liviu Dragnea.

Feb. 2017

The Grindeanu Cabinet adopts OUG 13 with a crippling effect on the judiciary; mass protests ensue, and OUG 14 repeals (some of) the measures.

Jun. 2017

After PSD orchestrated a no confidence vote in Parliament, Grindeanu is replaced with PM Mihai Tudose (PSD); the coalition and the leadership remains the same.

Aug. 2017

Minister of justice Tudorel Toader (independent, but leaning PSD) presents modifications to the three laws on judiciary; the measures initially included in OUG 13 now take the slower road of the parliamentary procedures.

Nov. 2017

The Senate passes a bill directed at burdening CSOs with almost impossible bureaucratic requirements; fortunately, the Chamber of Deputies tabled the bill indefinitely.

Jan. 2018

After Tudose resigned over an internal PSD bickering, Parliament appoints PM Viorica Dăncilă (PSD); the coalition and the leadership remains the same.

Feb. 2018

Minister of justice Tudorel Toader initiates the procedure for revoking Kövesi from DNA.

Mar. 2018

The secret protocol between the prosecution and SRI is leaked to the press (DW).

Apr. 2018

CCR interprets that the statute of limitations is not well regulated in the Code of Criminal Procedure, and instructs Parliament to make corrections within 45 days, according to the Constitution.

Jun. 2018

ECJ convicts Romania for not providing equal protection to a gay couple legally married in another member-state.

Jul. 2018

After several appeals at CCR and rebuttals from the President, Parliament passes the three laws on judiciary, and they get published in the official journal.

Forced by a CCR decision, President Iohannis revokes Kövesi from DNA.

Former minister of education Liviu Pop renounces the defense of his doctoral thesis, because of plagiarism.

Aug. 2018

Romanian diaspora organizes mass protests in Bucharest, on the topics of corruption and independence of the judiciary; anti-protesters intervene violently, and riot police fumbles the situation; political orders from Liviu Dragnea are suspected; the trial starts only late in 2023.

Oct. 2018

SIIJ becomes operational, as a consequence of the three laws on judiciary coming into force.

The ‘referendum for family’ harvests 91% in favor of amending the Constitution to explicitly state that marriage unites a man and a woman, instead of ‘spouses’; yet, CCR invalidates the result for not meeting the quorum—participation barely reached 21%, instead of the needed 30%.

May 2019

PNL wins the elections for the European Parliament, with about 27%; second place is disputed by PSD and USR-PLUS, with about 22% each.

The ‘referendum on justice’ harvests about 85% in favor, and the results get validated, as participation reached 41%; in essence, Cabinet may no longer adopt OUGs related to the judiciary.

Oct. 2019

Laura Codruța Kövesi becomes European Chief Prosecutor at EPPO.

Nov. 2019

Klaus Iohannis (PNL) wins a second mandate as President of Romania, against PM Viorica Dăncilă (PSD).

After a no confidence vote against Dăncilă, Parliament appoints PM Ludovic Orban (PNL); basically, the opposition comes to power, in a minority cabinet.

Mar. 2020

After a no confidence vote against Orban, Parliament has no choice, and appoints the Orban II Cabinet; still a minority cabinet.

ECHR convicts Romania for the abusive revocation of Kövesi from DNA.

As the Covid pandemic hits, Romania notifies CoE of a derogation to art. 15 of the European Convention on Human Rights; access to information and transparency of decision-making are practically suppressed.

May 2020

CCR declares unconstitutional the fines applied by police to individuals breaching the pandemic curfew; the money is not repaid automatically, but those affected need to go to court, case by case.

Sep. 2020

PNL wins the local elections with about 32%; surprisingly, PSD gets only about 28%.

Dec. 2020

PSD conserves a 45% win in the Parliamentary elections, but is unable to form a coalition.

After elections, Parliament appoints PM Florin Cîțu (PNL); his fragile coalition includes USR-PLUS and UDMR.

Jan. 2021

Romania officially kickstarts the anti-Covid vaccination campaign.

May 2021

CSM’s prosecutor Codruț Olaru loses his doctoral degree, on account of plagiarism (PressOne).

Jul. 2021

CCR decides that the ombudsman’s removal is not at the full discretion of Parliament (Europa Liberă).

Sep. 2021

Minister of European funds/projects Cristian Ghinea (USR-PLUS) announces the end of negotiations and final signature for PNRR.

USR-PLUS leaves the Cîțu Cabinet; the minority Cabinet Cîțu II survives about 3 months.

Nov. 2021

After a no confidence vote against Cîțu II, Parliament appoints PM Nicolae Ciucă (PNL); his large coalition includes PSD and UDMR.

Dec. 2021

ECJ decides that judges may ignore CCR decisions that run against EU law (especially SIIJ).

Minister of digitalization Florin Roman resigns, after being accused of plagiarism in his master’s thesis.

Jan. 2022

SIIJ is finally dismantled, but gets replaced with SUPC, a creation of minister of justice Cătălin Predoiu (PNL).

PM Ciucă is accused of plagiarism in his doctoral thesis; with help from minister of interior Lucian Bode, he brutally retaliates against journalist Emilia Șercan (details available at MFRR).

Romania is invited to start accession to OECD.

Feb. 2022

PM Ciucă passes an OUG regarding emergency support and humanitarian assistance to refugees coming from Ukraine.

May 2022

Observing that, since 2018, Parliament did not clarify the Code of Criminal Procedure with respect to the statute of limitations, CCR decides that the text is unconstitutional in its entirety.

Sep. 2022

Minister of education Sorin Câmpeanu resigns, being accused of plagiarism in the support material to one of his university courses.

Nov. 2022

President Iohannis promulgates a new version of the three laws on judiciary, after their initial adoption in 2018; the saga is not over, as the system of justice is still unbalanced within.

Brussels announces the end of CVM monitoring reports after 15 years (EC).

Jan. 2023

Minister of interior Lucian Bode is accused of plagiarism in his doctoral thesis.

May 2023

ECHR convicts Romania for not providing equal protection under the law to gay couples that wish either to marry or form a civil union.

Jun. 2023

Marcel Ciolacu (PSD) is confirmed as PM, leading largely the same coalition of PSD and PNL (UDMR offers parliamentary support).

Jul. 2023

ECJ decides that judges may ignore CCR decisions regarding the statute of limitations, especially in cases of fraud and corruption affecting the financial interests of the EU.

Sep. 2023

CVM for Romania and Bulgaria is officially closed, and all monitoring transferred to the Rule of Law Mechanism (EC).

ECHR rejects Romania’s appeal regarding gay couples; Romania must afford gay couples equal protection under the law (Libertatea).

PM Ciolacu asks Parliament for a confidence vote regarding the omnibus law on fiscal and budgetary measures; the opposition cannot summon enough signatures to file a non-confidence vote, but charges for non-constitutionality; in October, CCR decides that Ciolacu’s fiscal and budgetary omnibus is constitutional (Digi24 and Europa Liberă).

Jun. 2024

Elections for the European Parliament.

Sep. 2024

Elections for local government in Romania.

Oct.-Nov. 2024

Elections for the President of Romania.

Dec. 2024

Elections for the Romanian Parliament (may be postponed till Mar. 2025).