Thomas Leo Scherer
Postdoctoral Fellow, University of California, San Diego. Dec 2017 - present
Deputy Director, Machine learning for Social Science Lab, Center for Peace and Security Studies
Program Officer (GS-12), United States Institute of Peace. Oct 2015 - Nov 2017
Senior Program Specialist (GS-11), United States Institute of Peace. Aug 2014 - Oct 2015
Dissertation: Peace for Keeps: United Nations Peacekeeping and Government Power
Subfields: International Relations (IR) · Formal/Quant Methods · Comparative Politics
Majors: Government · Chemistry Concentrations: IR · Latin American Studies
“Nuclear ambiguity, no-first-use, and crisis stability in asymmetric crises” (with Alexander Lanoszka). 2018. The Nonproliferation Review, 24(3-4): 343-355.
“Insecurity and Industrial Organization: Evidence from Afghanistan” (with Joshua Blumenstock, Tarek Ghani, Sylvan Herskowitz, Ethan B. Kapstein, and Ott Toomet). January 2018. World Bank, Policy Research Working Paper.
“Economics and Peacebuilding: A Crucial Connection.” With Ethan Kapstein. June 2015. USIP Insights.
“The OECD’s fragility index is surprisingly fragile…” 2015. Washington Post.
“Is Ebola the New Powder Keg?” 2015. Foreign Policy.
“Why the Afghanistan Election Still Isn’t Over” 2014. Washington Post.
Grants and Awards
Office of Naval Research, U.S. Dept. of Defense (Minerva), 2019. “Forecasting Crisis Dynamics with Machine Coded Data to Model the Effects of Power Projection, Influence and Escalation.”
Dean’s Fund for Scholarly Travel, 2011
APSA Travel Grant, 2011
Bradley Research Program Fellowship, 2012, 2013
William S. Carpenter Fund Fellowship, 2008
International Studies Quarterly · Conflict Management and Peace Science · Terrorism and Political Violence
“Statistics for Social Science,” Princeton University. Teaching Assistant. Spring 2013. (WWS200)
“Causes of War,” Princeton University. Teaching Assistant. Fall 2011. (POL388)
“Violent Politics,” Princeton University. Teaching Assistant. Spring 2011. (POL386)
AI, peace, and security 2019, The Alan Turing Institute, “Peacekeeping”
ISA 2019, “Diplomacy Actions in International Crisis” (co-author)
ISA 2018, “The Power of Peacemaking: External and Internal Sources of Leverage” (panel discussant)
HCRI workshop 2017, “How do we get reliable data without putting informants at risk?”
MPSA 2013, “Rebels Without a War: The Post-Conflict Political Prospects of Former Insurgents"
ISA 2013, “Peacekeeping Consent and Civil War Outcomes”
Peace Sciences Society 2012, “Peacekeeping Consent and Civil War Outcomes” (poster)
APSA 2012, “The Strategic Implications of a No First Use Nuclear Policy: A Formal Analysis"
MPSA 2012, “The Role of Government Consent in International Peacekeeping during Civil Wars"
APSA 2011, “The Women’s Wave: Gendered Strategies in Electoral Politics" (co-author)
Keren Yarhi-Milo, Princeton University, 2010 - 2011
Jacob Shapiro, Princeton University, 2009 - 2013
Dustin Tingley, Princeton University, 2009
Jeff Colgan, Princeton University, 2008 - 2009
Peter Katzenstein, Cornell University, 2007 - 2008
Walter Mebane, Cornell University, 2007
Nic Van de Walle, Cornell University, 2007 - 2008
Academic Council on the United Nations System
Peace Science Society
American Political Science Association
International Studies Association
Skills and Experience
R: Packages UCDPtools, GDELTtools (co-author)
Spanish - Intermediate; French - Beginner
Lieutenant, Training Officer, Engine Operator Oct 2009 - May 2014