Falsifying Moroni's Promise: A Second Witness of the Truth

Part of a series about My Faith Journey.

(*) Note: This document is a work in progress. It is very spotty in parts.

(*) Note to self: I need a sub-section at the beginning of every section that answers the question "How can we falsify this?" (Kind of like what I did in the first section, but embellished.) >>

The LDS church presents a series of claims whereby a person can know if the church is true. It usually goes something like this:

  1. Joseph Smith was a "chosen vessel", a pure and righteous man who was prepared by God to fulfil his purposes.
  2. God selected Joseph Smith to do his work via the First Vision. Byproduct: TFV gives us a true understanding of the nature of God.
  3. Joseph Smith possessed the gift of translation which he used to translate the Book of Mormon and other ancient records.
  4. The Book of Mormon contains a record of the ancient inhabitants of the Americas.
  5. The Book of Mormon contains the fullness of the gospel and many "plain and precious" teachings that were lost from the Bible.
  6. You can read the Book of Mormon, pray to God, and gain a spiritual witness that it is true. (Moroni's promise)
  7. By learning that the Book of Mormon is true, you can also know that Joseph Smith was a prophet of God.
  8. Through Joseph Smith the priesthood was restored.
  9. That priesthood has been passed from one successor to the next, continuing a chain of priesthood authority that extends to the modern church leadership, all of whom are prophets, seers and revelators.
  10. The priesthood is on the earth today, helping to heal the sick, guide the church, and bless people's lives.
  11. "By their fruits you shall know them". The modern church exhibits good "fruits" and is therefore a good "tree".
  12. You should join the church and be an active part of it, because it is a good organization.

Question: What is an example of a similar test that could prove that the church is false? 2 Nephi 2:27 says "For it must needs be, that there is an opposition in all things". If that is true, then there must be an "opposition" test that could prove the church is false, in addition to the "truth test" outlined above.

Here is why I ask this: 2 Corinthians 13:1 says "In the mouth of two or three witnesses shall every word be established." The LDS church uses this scripture to show that belief in only the Bible is insufficient to get a clear understanding of God's will, and that the Book of Mormon is needed to get a "more sure witness". In the same vein, isn't a "confirmation" test insufficient on its own? In other words, if I can prove that the church is true using Moroni's promise and I can't prove that the church is false using the "opposition" test, wouldn't I have a "more sure witness"? Isn't this better than just one test?

The importance of a falsifiable claim...

Video: Can You Solve This? (2, 4, 6)

The church ought to be willing to present us with a "negation test". They make bold claims about having the "fullness of the restored gospel", so they should feel confident about presenting a test that could prove it false, secure in the knowledge that the church would not be proven false. However, the church hasn't provided us with a "negation" test, so I'll just use the claims they make (outlined above) and then test the negation of each one.

Joseph Smith's Character

Claim #1. Joseph Smith was a "chosen vessel", a pure and righteous man who was prepared by God to fulfil his purposes.

Can we falsify this claim? Can we demonstrate that Joseph Smith was a disreputable man, a man of low character?

JS: sexual predator

http://www.116pages.com/2016/08/evidence-that-joseph-smith-was-sexual.html

First Vision

Claim #2: God selected Joseph Smith to do his work via the First Vision. Byproduct: TFV gives us a true understanding of the nature of God.

Numerous, conflicting, accounts of the First Vision. No court would accept a testimony that was so flaky.

Why would JS pray to ask if there was a supreme being in 1823 if he had seen one or more supreme beings three years prior?

Why would JS try to join the Methodist church after being told, by God himself, that he should not join any of the existing churches?

It wasn't necessarily God & Jesus in the 1838 account. It could've been Mormon & Moroni, or Lehi & Nephi for that matter. Or some of JS's relatives, for that matter.

Evidence that the First Vision was plagiarized from contemporary sources.

The Gift of Translation

Claim #3: Joseph Smith possessed the gift of translation which he used to translate the Book of Mormon and other ancient records.

Historicity of the Book of Mormon

Claim #4: The Book of Mormon contains a record of the ancient inhabitants of the Americas.

Historical Problems

There is no such language as "Reformed Egyptian". It doesn't exist. The characters presented to Anton (name?) were gibberish.

In the entire scope of human history, there are no instances of people keeping records on plates (Why?)

Thomas Stuart Fergusun (Mormon archeologist) quote Nothing in the dirt matches what's in the book. (find the real quote)

Mormon Stories podcast about a non-Mormon archeologist who spent decades digging in Mesoamerica. He saw two dozen Mormon archeologists come through and one-by-one he saw them lose their testimonies and leave the church.

Anachronisms

DNA

Origins & Sources for the Book of Mormon

The Mormon church typically presents a proposition regarding the origin of the Book of Mormon that goes something like this: "Either the BofM is a divine record or Joseph Smith made it all up. But he was an uneducated farmboy, so he couldn't have made it all up. Therefore it must be a divine record." This is a false dichotomy: two propositions are presented, one of which sounds absurd (an uneducated farmboy couldn't have made it all up), so the other one must be true (it's a divine record). There could be more scenarios than the two presented:

Similar stories on the origin of the Native Americans:

How could JS have come up with all those names? By looking at a map of where he lived and this book.

Bible translation errors

Quotes from portions of Isaiah that hadn't been written yet.

Plagiarisms: View of the Hebrews, First Book of Napoleon, The Late War between the United States and Britain, the Apocrypha, see this big data analysis and this follow-up analysis video.

Parallels between The Late War and the BofM

Book of Mormon Torries This page has the quote from George Washington that sounds like Captain Moroni & the Standard of Liberty.

Autobiographical elements: dad's dream of the Tree of Life, King Benjamin as a parallel to the preacher of his time, George Washington quote that sounds strikingly similar to the standard of Liberty.

I think one of the reasons why the BofM "succeeded" is because shortly after it was written, it was transported away from its native territory (upstate New York) out to the Salt Lake valley where nobody would have heard of the stories that JS borrowed, or known the place names he used. (link to map/tables)

Editing problems

Editing errors, e.g. King Benjamin returns after he's announced as being dead.

Language problems: this video describes numerous language problems with the Book of Mormon that supports the idea that, yes, it was a relatively uneducated farmboy that wrote the book.

Doctrines of the Book of Mormon

Claim #5: The Book of Mormon contains the fullness of the gospel and many "plain and precious" teachings that were lost from the Bible.

What about the doctrines missing from the BofM?

Moroni's Promise

Claim #6: You can read the Book of Mormon, pray to God, and gain a spiritual witness that it is true.

The church teaches that, if you pray and ask to know the truth, you will get a "burning in the bosom", or a "warm feeling" that testifies of the truth. This is the lynchpin. This is the key. This is the thing the missionaries tell you that will get you your testimony. The question is: Are your feelings reliable? Put another way, are humans really "truth detectors"?

Did you ever feel like someone was "just right" for you, and the relationship ended up being a disaster? Did your mom ever propose an activity and you hated the sound of it, but went anyway and ended up having a good time? If these things or anything like it have ever happened to you, then your feelings have been wrong. See also this video.

Premise: your best friend was a suspect in a crime and the judge decides your best friend is guilty. When you ask about the decision, the judge tells you "I prayed and asked God if your friend was guilty, and I got a warm feeling." Would you accept this, or would you demand hard evidence proving that your friend was guilty?

All major religions use this technique. Funny thing, everyone gets a "warm feeling" that their church is true. See the video on this page. Also, see this spiritual witness video. Question: Why would God give conflicting answers to prayers? I tried this by praying to Buddha to ask if Buddhism was true. You know what I got? Warm feelings.

Note that the Bible does not use the "trust your feelings" approach to determining truth. 1 Thessalonians 5:21 says: "Prove all things; hold fast that which is good."

Paul H. Dunn got a lot of people to feel the spirit when he gave talks. Turns out his talks were full of lies. Didn't stop people from "feeling the spirit", though. Was the spirit a reliable "truth detector" in this case?

Heartsell. The church claims that they can manufacture "warm fuzzy" feelings and use it to sell goods to people. Is it possible that they're using this same sales tactic on their members & investigators?

Another thought to consider: Let's say one of the general authorities of the Mormon church needed to have a heart operation done. He has two doctors to pick from: The first is going to employ rigorously-tested medical techniques that have been proven to work. The second is going to just start the operation, and when he gets a "warm feeling" that he should cut somewhere, he's going to cut there. Which of these doctors do you think the general authority will choose? The point is, when your salvation is on the line, the GA's are content to let you rely on feelings. When their lives are on the line, the GA's are rational skeptics that demand scientifically-validated procedures.

The "spiritual witness" as "truth test" is circular reasoning: the BofM tells you that you can get this spiritual witness, and then how to interpret it. If the BofM isn't true, then the promise it gives isn't true either.

If the "pray and get a spiritual witness" method was a reliable way for determining truth, the BYU Science Dept. should be leading the world with scientific discoveries. However, this is not the case.

This can be explained by a well-known psychological phenomenon called Confirmation Bias.

It can also be described as a "self-fulfilling prophecy": I expected that I would get a warm fuzzy and that's what I got.

Humans are feeling creatures first and logical creatures second. You notice that missionaries don't hand out copies of the Book of Mormon and ask people: "Read this and see if it makes sense." You would approach it with a very different perspective if that was the case.

The wording in Moroni's promise is manipulative. If someone doesn't get a "positive" answer, supporters of the church can simply claim that they weren't "sincere" enough, or didn't have "real intent". Since there is no way to demonstrate "sincerity" or "real intent", it gives defenders of the church an out.

Corollary to Moroni's Promise

Claim #7: By learning that the Book of Mormon is true, you can also know that Joseph Smith was a prophet of God.

This is built on a number of logical fallacies:

Priesthood Restoration

Claim #8: Through Joseph Smith the priesthood was restored.

No account of priesthood restoration until 4 years after church was founded.

Accounts missing details and/or embellished.

Problems detailed here.

Modern-day Prophets, Seers, and Revelators

Claim #9: That priesthood has been passed from one successor to the next, continuing a chain of priesthood authority that extends to the modern church leadership, all of whom are prophets, seers and revelators.

<< This needs to be split up into two: one for the "chain", one for the "prophets, seers, and revelators". >>

There are numerous "forks" in the chain of authority, starting with the succession crisis right after JS's death. If you believe in JS, you could have the foundation for believing in the Strangites or the Community of Christ.

In order to believe in the modern LDS church, it isn't sufficient to have a testimony of JS, you need to also have a testimony of BY. This calls into question BY's character. He committed numerous acts that were very similar to JS: polygamy, assassination, MMM etc.

There have been splinter groups that have shot off from BY, FLDS for example.

What about all the prophets / presidents of the church that practiced post-manifesto polygamy? Or the ones that "lied for the Lord"?

How about in the year 1961 when Martin Luther King Jr. gave his "I have a dream" speech, which inspired an entire race out of oppression. During this same time, David O. Mckay was preaching that blacks were lesser beings that did not need saving ordinances. Which one of these men sounds more "inspired" to you?

Joseph Fielding Smith quote about never going to the moon.

Deuteronomy 18:22 -- "When a prophet speaketh in the name of the LORD, if the thing follow not, nor come to pass, that is the thing which the LORD hath not spoken, but the prophet hath spoken it presumptuously: thou shalt not be afraid of him."

2 groups from the New Testament: Apostles & Pharisees. Which of those two groups do the modern-day LDS apostles look most like?

When was the last time you heard a prophesy, a sight, or a revelation?

Many historical prophets of the church said things that are now considered heretical (like Adam-God & Blood Atonement) or racist (like the priesthood / temple ban with blacks). If they truly were receiving revelation from God, we should be marveling at how transcendent their message was and how timeless their wisdom, but we don't. We make excuses for why they were wrong ("they were just speaking as men", "they were just offering their opinion", "they were a product of their time"). No one should ever have to make excuses like that if those "prophets" were indeed receiving the word of God. These equivocations also raise a number of thorny questions:

The Blessings of the Priesthood

Claim #10: The priesthood is on the earth today, helping to heal the sick, guide the church, and bless people's lives.

What does the modern-day priesthood actually do?

Baby blessings, baptisms, and grave dedications are largely ceremonial. These kind of things are done by clergy of other churches all the time. I see no great difference in the way these ceremonies are done by LDS priesthood holders.

A challenge: Can you cite an example of a priesthood blessing that "healed the sick" that couldn't be explained by the placebo effect? I've never seen a priesthood blessing restore an amputated arm or restore sight to a blind man (as Jesus was recorded doing). The only place where priesthood blessings seem to function is in the foggy space where the healing effects could also be explained by natural or psychosomatic causes. Priesthood blessings don't seem much different from sugar pills when you examine the observable results.

Statistically, Utah is on par with every other state in the nation for rates of recovery from illness, injuries, accidents, etc. If priesthood blessings really healed people as they claimed, we would expect to see a statistical difference, but we don't.

How is the "priesthood guidance of the church" any different than the way a normal board runs a corporation? Is there any evidence of inspired leadership that doesn't compare with the leadership of the Catholic church, a university administration, or IBM?

The Modern-day Church

Claim #11: "By their fruits you shall know them". The modern church exhibits good "fruits" and is therefore a good "tree".

After looking at the history, it's straightforward to conclude that the church came from bad origins and is built on shaky ground. It's questionable as to whether the modern church could be any good considering it's checkered past. Many apologists will cite the saying of Jesus where he said "by their fruits you shall know them", sometimes adding that Jesus didn't say "by their roots you shall know them." This is an attempt to ignore / discount past wrongdoings. A number of questions need to be answered:

But some will want to discount all that and say that members of the church exhibit many good qualities:

If you're going to count those, you need to consider the whole picture. There are some negative elements to the modern-day LDS church culture that can't be discounted; you can't just count the good stuff and ignore the bad stuff.

I once asked myself the "good fruits" question. I did some research and discovered that Utah has very high levels of all of the following (sometimes more than any other state in the U.S.):

Affinity fraud

http://www.economist.com/node/21543526

Ponzi schemes

http://archive.sltrib.com/story.php?ref=/sltrib/money/52091892-79/ponzi-utah-state-fraud.html.csp

Bankruptcies

http://www.deseretnews.com/article/595072079/Utah-stays-No-1--in-bankruptcies.html

Consumption of antidepressants

http://articles.latimes.com/2002/feb/20/news/mn-28924

Suicides

http://archive.sltrib.com/story.php?ref=/sltrib/news/53530394-78/suicide-utah-percent-health.html.csp

Abuse of prescription drugs

http://www.deseretnews.com/article/660200893/Utah-No-1-in-prescription-drug-abuse.html

Online porn subscriptions

http://www.deseretnews.com/article/705288350/Utah-No-1-in-online-porn-subscriptions-report-says.html

Eating disorders (bulimia / anorexia)

http://turningpointcenters.com/blog/eating-disorders-statistics/

Cosmetic surgery

http://fox13now.com/2016/02/24/vain-utah-cosmetic-surgery-more-popular-than-ever-in-the-beehive-state/

Passive-aggressive behaviors

https://www.sunstonemagazine.com/passive-aggression-among-the-latter-day-saints/

Are these really "good fruits"?

Most of the good aspects of the church can be attributed to the rank-and-file members. Most of the bad stuff can be attributed to culture / environment created by the top-tier leadership.

https://mormonbandwagon.com/doncohen/fruits-of-the-church/

You Should Join the Church

Claim #12: You should join the church and be an active part of it, because it is a good organization.

If the argument here is that a person should be part of a "good" organization, there are plenty of churches (and secular organizations) to pick from besides the LDS church. Most of those other "good" organizations don't use the mind-control tactics that the LDS church uses (see also The BITE Model Applied Toward Mormonism), nor do they have all of the social problems described in the previous section.

Put another way: the good features of the Mormon church are not unique, and the unique features of the Mormon church are not good.

Why People Still Believe

Even after evaluating the (frankly) damning evidence, there are some faithful members who will nevertheless continue to believe. Why is this so?

Social Pressure

We don't like thinking this of ourselves, but basically humans are herd animals.

I learned about the Asch conformity experiments, which demonstrated that people will conform to the beliefs of their peer group, even when their own senses are telling them that the group is wrong. This can be explained by another cognitive bias called the bandwagon effect. We don't like to think of ourselves this way, but humans are basically herd animals; we have a strong tendency to do whatever the group is doing and believe whatever the group is believing. When you attend a Fast & Testimony meeting and hear everyone else saying "I know the church is true. I know Joseph Smith was a prophet. I know the Book of Mormon is the word of God.", you'll pick up on that and mimic it.

Some stay just to keep the peace in the house, even though they're miserable. In the Shadow of the Temple

Cognitive Dissonance / Consonance

Cognitive Biases

(Break up the following into, say, "Investment", "Herd mentality", "Subjective perception", etc.)

Primacy effect: We latch onto the first thing we are exposed to / taught.
Bandwagon effect
Confirmation bias

"Men occasionally stumble over the truth, but most of them pick themselves up and hurry  off as if nothing ever happened." - Sir Winston Churchill


Endowment effect
Framing
Loss aversion
Sunk-cost effect
Mere exposure effect
Post-purchase rationalization
Selective perception
Status Quo bias

Rationalizing

Everyone is the hero of their own story. No one wants to think that they've been duped.

"It's easy to fool a man, but nearly impossible to convince him he's been fooled." -- Mark Twain

You can't find a guilty man in prison. Every inmate has an excuse or a way to blame someone else for why they're in there, despite the fact that they've heard hard evidence that has convicted them.

Oscar Wilde is credited with saying: "You can't reason a man out of something he didn't reason himself into." I think it could be restated as: You can't reason someone out of a position that they worked themselves into emotionally. If a believer is unmoved by the reasons presented here, then I have to wonder: What reasons would convince them to question their beliefs?

Carl Sagan once said: "One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we've been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We're no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It's simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we've been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back."

Phobias

Breaking up my eternal family.

Where will you go?

Fear of being happy outside the church, despite testimonials to the contrary

"It is the mind-forged manacles that are hardest for us to break." -- William Blake

Other

Stockholm Syndrome

Parting Thoughts

Many of us fall prey to having a subjective point of view. If the above information applied to a church that was not your own, you would have no difficulty seeing its founder as a conman, his works as fraudulent, and the church he founded as harmful. However, since it's your own, you don't see it.

See also: Why facts don't change our minds.