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A NEW PLACE LIKE HOME

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Austin leads the country's major metro areas in luring young people and college graduates.

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Juan Castillo

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American-Statesman Staff

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Sunday

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3/31/2013

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What's the difference between the nation's capital and the so-called live music capital?

The answer reveals as much about the lure of Austin as it does about why, in September 2011, Erin Hallagan and her boyfriend, Matt Nikolajevic, quit what they considered great jobs, rolled the dice and left Washington, D.C., for new lives in Austin.

"In D.C., the first question a stranger will ask you is, 'What is it you do for a living?' They're looking for networks to advance themselves, " Hallagan said. "In Austin, the question is, 'What is it you like to do?' It's more about self-nourishment and development. It's a great fit for us."

Hallagan, 27, was a film and theater major in search of a film community. She found it in Austin, where she is the conference director for the Austin Film Festival. "The creative culture here is huge. That's the biggest thing for me, " Hallagan said.

Nikolajevic, 28, who graduated with a history degree from George Mason University and worked for a culinary school in Washington, now works in the admissions department at Le Cordon Bleu College of Culinary Arts in Austin.

Like Hallagan and Nikolajevic, the new neighbor next door might be young, college-educated and not from around here.

The Austin metro area attracted more young people and college graduates than any other major metropolitan area in the country during the period from 2009-2011, the second consecutive three-year period in which Austin has led the pack in those categories, according to an analysis by William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution in Washington . He measured rates for annual average net migration (including people who left Austin) of young adults ages 25 to 34 andyoung adults with college degrees.

According to an American-Statesman analysis of census estimates, in 2011 about 50,000 people moved to the five-county Austin region from another state, comprising 2.8 percent of the metro area's population. (By comparison, 1.6 percent of the nation's population moved to a different state in 2011; 2 percent in Texas.) An estimated 30,000 Austin-area residents left for another state that year. Still, with net migration of about 20,000 people, the Austin region ranked second among the state's five-largest metro areas, behind Dallas, which had a net migration of about 25,700 people who had lived in a different state the previous year.

Those figures and other mobility data bolster Austin's long-standing distinction as an attractive destination, especially for young people and people looking for jobs.

"Austin hits the trifecta. It's got jobs, cachet, it's got people who see that it's a pathway to careers, either because they go there to get an education or to use an education, " Frey said.

"It really boils down to Austin's ability to exert this gravitational pull for the young and talented, " city of Austin demographer Ryan Robinson said.

Jobs typically are the top reason people move. Twenty-somethings traditionally have the highest rates of mobility, and college graduates typically are more willing to move out of state for jobs because they tend to compete for them in national markets, Frey said.

With its high-tech industry and universities, its good economic health compared with other places, and its reputation as a vibrant hot spot for young people, the Austin metro area scores well with job seekers and young adults.

In a January report on the Austin office market, Oxford Commercial said that Austin has the eighth-most-educated workforce in the country, and that employers benefit from the area's high concentration of universities and access "to one of the most energetic, innovative and highly educated" labor pools in the country.

That ready pool of talented, young college grads, along with diversification of the local economy, and of the tech industry in particular, is helping attract companies to Austin, said Dave Porter, senior vice president for economic development at the Greater Austin Chamber of Commerce.

"The old mantra used to be 'Location, location, location.' Today, it's all about 'Talent, talent, talent, '" Porter said.

Half of all adults who move here have a four-year college degree, Porter said, citing Internal Revenue Service data.

'I fell in love

with the city'

Employment trumps all other motivators when people move long distances, according to demographers, but some newcomers to Austin says there's much more to it than just work.

Though career paths were on their minds, Hallagan said she and Nikolajevic did not have jobs lined up when they moved to the West Austin neighborhood of Clarksville.

Another newcomer from another state, Julie Wernersbach, said she was so taken with Austin, she would have come even without a job offer.

The first time she set foot in Austin in 2010, Wernersbach found herself basking on the upstairs patio at Whole Foods. It was a shimmery, sun-dappled day. She wore a tank top. It was December.

"I felt life could not be better, " the 31-year-old Wernersbach said with a laugh.

Just four weeks after that Shangri-La moment, Wernersbach packed up her belongings and left her home in frosty Long Island, N.Y., to take a job in Austin as a publicist for BookPeople.

"Austin was a place I wanted to be and a place I wanted to work, " Wernersbach said. Austin just felt comfortable, Wernersbach said, and she liked its creative culture and its appreciation for a locally owned bookstore.

"And I'm having a little fun, " Wernersbach added, laughing again.

Another Washington transplant, Yahaira Rodriguez, a 35-year-old Puerto Rico native, came toAustin for the first time in early 2011 for a national meeting of the home-grown Las Comadres, a social and professional networking organization for Latinas that has members across the world.

"I fell in love with the city and with the people, " Rodriguez said. By that summer, Rodriguez had made a new home in Austin, drawn, she said, by the city's diversity and what she considered its strong sense of community.

Rodriguez thinks Austin is a place where entrepreneurs can flourish. That was something she was looking for, and she is putting it to the test, starting up a private practice here as a life coach and as a consultant working with nonprofits.

Two factors stack up in a favor of business in Austin, Rodriguez said. First, the city has a growing economy; Washington's wasn't as stable. Second, Texas has no state income tax.

Rodriguez raves about Austin, but Washington has one thing going for it - a wealth of museums and cultural spaces, many of which are free. "I will miss that, " she said.

The downside

of popularity

Among people who moved to a different state in 2011, the city of Austin had a net migration of about 13,000 people, according to census estimates. Measured a different way, the people who moved to Austin from another state in 2011 made up about 15 percent of all people who moved to the capital city.

"Other parts of the country are scheming and dreaming to get a piece of this action, " Robinson said. "We're doing it largely organically." He predicted that data not yet available for 2012 and 2013 will show Austin continuing "on a really strong trajectory" of new residents coming from out of state. The city is driving a long and sustained growth surge in the five-county metro area, Robinson said.

Austin is the state's fourth-largest city, and last year it passed San Francisco to become the nation's 13th-largest city. As impressive as that is, the metro area also has been growing faster by percentage since 2000. It grew 37 percent in the last decade to 1.7 million people, according to the 2010census.

That surge continues: The Austin area grew faster than all large metropolitan areas in the nation last year, according to census estimates released earlier this month, which also showed a number of other Texas metro areas and counties among the fastest-growing in the U.S. last year. Among states, Texas has led the nation in growth since 2000, with demographers attributing half that surge to migration, with the bulk of that migration from other states.

Still, though newcomers represent a fraction of the Austin region's growth overall - about 470,000 people during the last decade - some longtime residents gripe that the new residents are changing the city simply with their numbers, as if they are somehow responsible for chipping away at what madeAustin a special place. Longtime locals grouse about ubiquitous traffic snarls, for one thing. Perhaps with the full force of hyperbole, one talk show host said recently that Austin was becoming like the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, though in fairness he was talking as well about development and urban sprawl and big events such as Formula One .

The satirical website The Pessimist recently asked visitors for the South by Southwest festivals to please not move here, claiming the city isn't all that it's cracked up to be. Example: "Sure, our bats are awesome ... until they turn into vampires."

Even Hallagan said that she and Nikolajevic fell pretty quickly into the camp that thinks there might be "too many" people moving to Austin.

"I feel hypocritical, " Hallagan said. "I feel so connected with what Austin represents that there's this huge fear of people coming and maybe diluting it a little, and I would hate for that to happen. But the optimistic part of me also thinks that might present a lot of opportunity as well."

Contact Juan Castillo at 445-3635. Like Hallagan and Nikolajevic, the new neighbor next door might be young, college-educated and not from around here.

The Austin metro area attracted more young people and college graduates than any other major metropolitan area in the country during the period from 2009-2011, the second consecutive three-year period in which Austin has led the pack in those categories, according to an analysis by William Frey, a demographer at the Brookings Institution in Washington . He measured rates for annual average net migration (including people who left Austin) of young adults ages 25 to 34 andyoung adults with college degrees.

According to an American-Statesman analysis of census estimates, in 2011 about 50,000 people moved to the five-county Austin region from another state, comprising 2.8 percent of the metro area's population. (By comparison, 1.6 percent of the nation's population moved to a different state in 2011; 2 percent in Texas.) An estimated 30,000 Austin-area residents left for another state that year. Still, with net migration of about 20,000 people, the Austin region ranked second among the state's five-largest metro areas, behind Dallas, which had a net migration of about 25,700 people who had lived in a different state the previous year.

Those figures and other mobility data bolster Austin's long-standing distinction as an attractive destination, especially for young people and people looking for jobs.

"Austin hits the trifecta. It's got jobs, cachet, it's got people who see that it's a pathway to careers, either because they go there to get an education or to use an education, " Frey said.

"It really boils down to Austin's ability to exert this gravitational pull for the young and talented, " city of Austin demographer Ryan Robinson said.

Jobs typically are the top reason people move. Twenty-somethings traditionally have the highest rates of mobility, and college graduates typically are more willing to move out of state for jobs because they tend to compete for them in national markets, Frey said.

With its high-tech industry and universities, its good economic health compared with other places, and its reputation as a vibrant hot spot for young people, the Austin metro area scores well with job seekers and young adults.

In a January report on the Austin office market, Oxford Commercial said that Austin has the eighth-most educated workforce in the country, and that employers benefit from the area's high concentration of universities and access "to one of the most energetic, innovative and highly educated" labor pools in the country.

That ready pool of talented, young college grads, along with diversification of the local economy, and of the tech industry in particular, is helping attract companies to Austin, said Dave Porter, senior vice president for economic development at the Greater Austin Chamber of Commerce.

"The old mantra used to be 'Location, location, location.' Today, it's all about 'Talent, talent, talent, '" Porter said.

Half of all adults who move here have a four-year college degree, Porter said, citing Internal Revenue Service data.

'I fell in love

with the city'

Employment trumps all other motivators when people move long distances, according to demographers, but some newcomers to Austin says there's much more to it than just work.

Though career paths were on their minds, Hallagan said she and Nikolajevic did not have jobs lined up when they moved to the West Austin neighborhood of Clarksville.

Another newcomer from another state, Julie Wernersbach, said she was so taken with Austin, she would have come even without a job offer.

The first time she set foot in Austin in 2010, Wernersbach found herself basking on the upstairs patio at Whole Foods. It was a shimmery, sun-dappled day. She wore a tank top. It was December.

"I felt life could not be better, " the 31-year-old Wernersbach said with a laugh.

Just four weeks after that Shangri-La moment, Wernersbach packed up her belongings and left her home in frosty Long Island, N.Y., to take a job in Austin as a publicist for BookPeople.

"Austin was a place I wanted to be and a place I wanted to work, " Wernersbach said. Austin just felt comfortable, Wernersbach said, and she liked its creative culture and its appreciation for a locally owned bookstore.

"And I'm having a little fun, " Wernersbach added, laughing again.

Another Washington transplant, Yahaira Rodriguez, a 35-year-old Puerto Rico native, came toAustin for the first time in early 2011 for a national meeting of the home-grown Las Comadres, a social and professional networking organization for Latinas that has members across the world.

"I fell in love with the city and with the people, " Rodriguez said. By that summer, Rodriguez had made a new home in Austin, drawn, she said, by the city's diversity and what she considered its strong sense of community.

Rodriguez thinks Austin is a place where entrepreneurs can flourish. That was something she was looking for, and she is putting it to the test, starting up a private practice here as a life coach and as a consultant working with nonprofits.

Two factors stack up in a favor of business in Austin, Rodriguez said. First, the city has a growing economy; Washington's wasn't as stable. Second, Texas has no state income tax.

Rodriguez raves about Austin, but Washington has one thing going for it - a wealth of museums and cultural spaces, many of which are free. "I will miss that, " she said.

The downside

of popularity

Among people who moved to a different state in 2011, the city of Austin had a net migration of about 13,000 people, according to census estimates. Measured a different way, the people who moved to Austin from another state in 2011 made up about 15 percent of all people who moved to the capital city.

"Other parts of the country are scheming and dreaming to get a piece of this action, " Robinson said. "We're doing it largely organically." He predicted that data not yet available for 2012 and 2013 will show Austin continuing "on a really strong trajectory" of new residents coming from out of state. The city is driving a long and sustained growth surge in the five-county metro area, Robinson said.

Austin is the state's fourth-largest city, and last year it passed San Francisco to become the nation's 13th-largest city. As impressive as that is, the metro area also has been growing faster by percentage since 2000. It grew 37 percent in the last decade to 1.7 million people, according to the 2010census.

That surge continues: The Austin area grew faster than all large metropolitan areas in the nation last year, according to census estimates released earlier this month, which also showed a number of other Texas metro areas and counties among the fastest-growing in the U.S. last year. Among states, Texas has led the nation in growth since 2000, with demographers attributing half that surge to migration, with the bulk of that migration from other states.

Still, though newcomers represent a fraction of the Austin region's growth overall - about 470,000 people during the last decade - some longtime residents gripe that the new residents are changing the city simply with their numbers, as if they are somehow responsible for chipping away at what madeAustin a special place. Longtime locals grouse about ubiquitous traffic snarls, for one thing. Perhaps with the full force of hyperbole, one talk show host said recently that Austin was becoming like the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, though in fairness he was talking as well about development and urban sprawl and big events such as Formula One .

The satirical website The Pessimist recently asked visitors for the South by Southwest festivals to please not move here, claiming the city isn't all that it's cracked up to be. Example: "Sure, our bats are awesome ... until they turn into vampires."

Even Hallagan said that she and Nikolajevic fell pretty quickly into the camp which thinks there might be "too many" people moving to Austin.

"I feel hypocritical, " Hallagan said. "I feel so connected with what Austin represents that there's this huge fear of people coming and maybe diluting it a little, and I would hate for that to happen. But the optimistic part of me also thinks that might present a lot of opportunity as well."

Contact Juan Castillo at 445-3635. By Juan Castillo

and Christian McDonald

jcastillo@statesman.com

cmcdonald@statesman.com

According to an American-Statesman analysis of a compilation of five years of census data for theAustin metro area, the median age of people who moved here from another state was 29.2, but the median age of the metro population overall was 32.5.

Not counting the University of Texas area, which logically has a high percentage of residents from out of state, the relatively small 78701 ZIP code in downtown Austin had the highest percentage ofAustin residents who had lived in another state one year earlier, according to the Statesman analysis. About 1 in 10 of the 78701 ZIP code's population of 5,064 people moved from another state during the period.

The 78732 ZIP code around Steiner Ranch and Lake Travis attracted more people from out of state than any other ZIP code in the five-county metro area, according to census estimates.

Of its 13,107 residents, 1,127 moved to the ZIP code during the period from 2007 to 2011.

The 78751 ZIP code , which includes the Central Austin's Hyde Park neighborhood, was close behind, with 1,050 out-of-state transplants, about 7 percent of the ZIP code's 14,384 residents.

The 78726 ZIP code in Northwest Austin, which includes the fast-growing area around Anderson Mill Road and RR 620, also had a high number of new out-of-staters, with 964.

City of Austin demographer Ryan Robinson thinks top-ranking ZIP codes share at least one common denominator - they have either a sizable amount of available rental stock, such as in and near Austin's urban core, or housing under construction, such as along RR 620 in the 78732 ZIP code. Most people from out of state typically rent first, before buying a home, Robinson said.

In previous years, new residents from out of state typically moved to Austin's urban core.

But more recently, Robinson charted a newer trend - more ZIP codes spread across the metro area are getting new neighbors from outside Texas.

Newcomers are drawn to far West and Southwest Austin, and to parts of Williamson and Hays counties, areas near Travis County that have seen significant population surges since 2000.

With demand for housing surging in the Austin region, home prices are on the rise and inventory is at record lows, according to analysts. Available housing in an extremely tight housing market is certainly a factor influencing where out-of-staters settle.

But for newcomers with children, good schools drive buying, said Austin Realtor Paul Borman.

"A lot of times people (from out of state) don't know beans about Austin, but they want to talk about Eanes, and Lake Travis and Leander and Steiner Ranch, " Borman said.

That's because they've heard they have good schools, he said.

Good schools also outweigh proximity to work. Prospective buyers are willing to drive 15 miles to work if they can get the right schools, Borman said.

A recent census report found that 46 percent of Williamson County workers, about 90,000 people, have jobs in Travis County, third-highest in the nation among workforces that travel to another county for jobs.

Contact Juan Castillo at 445-3635. Contact Christian McDonald at 445-3661.

(BOX)

Expert reporting

Juan Castillo came to the American-Statesman 23 years ago. He has covered shifting demographics and their implications for Central Texas since 2003. His work with 2010 census data traced the sweeping transformation of East Austin and provided other insights about outdated notions of where racial and ethnic minorities live. graphic

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Caption:

Matt Nikolajevic and Erin Hallagan enjoy a drink at East End Wines in Austin on a recent Friday after work. The two moved to Austin from Washington, D.C., in September 2011. LAURA SKELDING / AMERICAN-STATESMAN

Yahaira Rodriguez distributes pamphlets to students at Huston-Tillotson University with information about

volunteering to mentor troubled youths. Rodriguez moved to Austin from Washington, D.C., about a year-and-a-half ago. ALBERTO MARTÍNEZ / AMERICAN-STATESMAN

(Map) ROBERT CALZADA / STAFF

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