Quantus Polls and News
2024 General Election Virginia Survey
This survey was conducted among 629 registered voters in Virginia, with a margin of error of ±4%. The data was weighted based on statewide voter demographics, including gender, age, race/ethnicity, education, and voter registration and turnout patterns. The survey was administered using online panels to ensure a representative sample of the Virginia electorate. Read the full report.
Q1. Did you vote in the 2020 presidential election? If so, which candidate did you support?
Candidate | Percentage (%) | Count |
Joe Biden | 51% | 321 |
Donald Trump | 39% | 245 |
Some other candidate | 2% | 13 |
Didn’t Vote/Don’t Remember | 8% | 50 |
Q2. Which of the following best describes you politically?
Affiliation | Percentage (%) | Count |
Democrat | 36% | 226 |
Republican | 34% | 214 |
Independent | 30% | 189 |
Q3. We'd like to get your overall opinion of Vice President Kamala Harris.
Opinion | Percentage (%) | Count |
Very Favorable | 26% | 164 |
Favorable | 23% | 145 |
Unfavorable | 18% | 113 |
Very Unfavorable | 33% | 207 |
Q4. We'd like to get your overall opinion of former President Donald Trump.
Opinion | Percentage (%) | Count |
Very Favorable | 23% | 145 |
Favorable | 21% | 132 |
Unfavorable | 18% | 113 |
Very Unfavorable | 38% | 239 |
Q5. Who were you planning to vote for in the November General Election before President Biden's decision to drop out of the 2024 race?
Candidate | Percentage (%) | Count |
Joe Biden | 45% | 277 |
Donald Trump | 45% | 283 |
Some other candidate | 4% | 31 |
Undecided | 6% | 38 |
Q6. If the US presidential election were held today and your choices are between former President Donald Trump as the Republican Party's candidate and Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic Party's candidate, who would you support?
Candidate | Percentage (%) | Count |
Donald Trump | 44% | 277 |
Kamala Harris | 47% | 293 |
Some other candidate | 5% | 32 |
Undecided | 4% | 27 |
Demographic | Trump (%) | Harris (%) | Undecided/Other | ||
Total Sample | 44% | 46.6% | 9.4% | ||
Gender | |||||
Male | 50% | 39% | 11% | ||
Female | 39% | 54% | 7% | ||
Age | |||||
18-29 years | 36% | 54% | 10% | ||
30-44 years | 41% | 52% | 7% | ||
45-64 years | 46% | 46% | 10% | ||
65+ years | 49% | 41% | 10% | ||
Race | |||||
White | 52% | 39% | 9% | ||
Black | 13% | 75% | 12% | ||
Hispanic/Other | 43% | 44% | 13% | ||
Education | |||||
No college/Some college | 50% | 40% | 10% | ||
College graduate | 35% | 55% | 10% | ||
Partisan Identity | |||||
Partisan Support | Trump | Harris | |||
Republican | 92% | 3% | |||
Democrat | 5% | 91% | |||
Independent | 36% | 44% | |||
Q7. Who do you trust most to handle these issues?
|
| ||||||
Economy and Jobs – Donald Trump | 48.4% | ||||||
Economy and Jobs – Kamala Harris | 47.3% | ||||||
Immigration and Border Security – Donald Trump | 50.2% | ||||||
Immigration and Border Security – Kamala Harris | 41.2% | ||||||
Crime and Safety – Donald Trump | 47.4% | ||||||
Crime and Safety - Kamala Harris | 48.1% | ||||||
National Security/Foreign Policy - Donald Trump | 46.5% | ||||||
National Security/Foreign Policy - Kamala Harris | 47.8% | ||||||
Abortion Rights and Restrictions - Donald Trump | 34.9% | ||||||
Abortion Rights and Restrictions – Kamala Harris | 58.4% | ||||||
Q8. Did you vote in the 2021 Virginia's governor race? If so, which candidate did you support?
Candidate | Percentage (%) | Count |
Glenn Youngkin | 39% | 245 |
Terry McAuliffe | 38% | 239 |
Some other candidate | 3% | 19 |
Undecided | 20% | 126 |
Q9. If the only two choices for president were Kamala Harris, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, which candidate would you vote for?
Candidate | Percentage (%) | Count |
Kamala Harris | 48.6% | 306 |
Donald Trump | 45.8% | 288 |
Would not vote | 5.6% | 35 |
Demographics | Trump | Harris | Would not vote | ||||
Total Sample | 45.8% | 48.6% | 5.6% | ||||
Gender | |||||||
Male | 53% | 40% | 7% | ||||
Female | 39% | 57% | 4% | ||||
Age | |||||||
18-29 years | 39% | 57% | 4% | ||||
30-44 years | 43% | 53% | 4% | ||||
45-64 years | 48% | 47% | 5% | ||||
65+ years | 50% | 42% | 8% | ||||
| |||||||
White | 53% | 42% | 5% | ||||
Black | 15% | 76% | 9% | ||||
Hispanic/Other | 45% | 45% | 10% | ||||
| Trump | Harris | Would not vote | ||||
No college/some college | 53% | 42% | 5% | ||||
College | 37% | 59% | 4% | ||||
Party | Trump | Harris | Would not vote |
Republican | 93% | 4% | 3% |
Democrat | 6% | 92% | 2% |
Independent | 39% | 48% | 13% |
Q10. What is the most important issue to you in this election? Would you say the economy, immigration, abortion, crime, foreign affairs, or direction of country?
|
| ||||||
Economy | 37% | ||||||
Immigration | 8% | ||||||
Crime | 2% | ||||||
Abortion | 11% | ||||||
Foreign Policy | 4% | ||||||
Direction of country | 32% | ||||||
Something else/don’t know | 6% | ||||||
The survey results indicate a close race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in the state of Virginia. Harris holds a slight edge among younger voters, while Trump performs better among older demographics. Both candidates have similar levels of support across gender lines, with Trump slightly ahead among male voters and Harris leading among females.