Capital Project Proposal Overview
On March 30, 2017, the Board of Education voted to reduce the scope of the Capital Project from $196.4 million dollars to $106.3 million dollars. The community will vote on the revised Capital Project on May 16, 2017. The revised project includes security upgrades to all buildings K--12, addition and renovation work necessary for the conversion of the 7--8 junior high school to a 6--8 middle school, additional classroom space at Boght Hills, additional music classrooms and special education classrooms throughout the elementary buildings, enhanced library/media centers at all elementary schools, science and technology labs at all elementary schools, as well as site and field work on the Shaker High School/Shaker Junior High School campus.
Growing enrollment, especially at the elementary level, coupled with quickly rising birth rates, points to continued growth over the next decade. We are already at a 30-year high for elementary enrollment.
Current forecasts call for elementary enrollment to grow from 2,700 to more than 3,200 by 2023.
The junior high will grow from approximately 900 students to more than 1,100.
The high school will grow from approximately 2,000 students to nearly 2,400 over the next decade.
We utilize several types of data in our analysis. First, we use New York State birth data. Over the last decade, we have averaged slightly fewer than 300 births. However, the last three years of data have been 339 births in 2013, 339 births in 2014, and 376 births in 2015. This rapid rise points to growing future enrollment as these larger cohorts age into kindergarten and begin to fill our elementary buildings.
In addition to our work internally, we also analyze the housing information from the Town of Colonie.
Finally, to further investigate the population growth we have commissioned both an enrollment study completed by the Capital Region Planning Commission, and a demographics forecast completed by McKibben Demographics, which forecasts that the district will increase by over 900 students in the next decade.