To: Ty Pinkins for Senate
From: Sumati Thomas, Change Research
Date: October 6, 2024
Re: Mississippi Senate Election Poll Results
On behalf of the Ty Pinkins for U.S. Senate campaign, Change Research surveyed 565 likely 2024 voters in Mississippi from September 29 to October 3, 2024.[1] The findings underscore that Ty Pinkins is well positioned to effectively compete against the incumbent, Senator Roger Wicker, in the forthcoming U.S. Senate election.
Voter Awareness Boosts Pinkins' Numbers
The survey reveals Roger Wicker initially leading by 13 points over Ty Pinkins. However, Wicker’s broader unfavorability rate stands at 36%, surpassing his 26% favorability. Conversely, Pinkins, while lesser-known, achieves a positive net favorability, 12% favorability against a 9% unfavorability.
After voters read candidate biographies, the electoral gap narrows. Wicker's support slightly increases to 50%, while Pinkins gains ground at 40%, reducing the gap to 10 points. By the final ballot, the gap closes further to just a 5-point striking distance, with Wicker at 47% and Pinkins at 42%.
Wicker Seen as Just Another Politician
Over half (58%) view Wicker as "just another politician," with even a substantial proportion of Republican voters (51%) echoing this sentiment.
Many voters express skepticism about Wicker's accomplishments, noting limited tangible benefits for Mississippi.
Only 19% credit him with significant achievements, whereas 39% dispute his effectiveness.
Pinkins' Policies Reflect Mississippi's Needs
Ty Pinkins’ policies and background resonate strongly on several fronts. His advocacy and dedication to supporting troops and veterans, his commitment to enhancing public education in Mississippi, and his focused efforts to make housing more affordable strongly resonate with voters. Furthermore, Pinkins champions reproductive freedoms and worker protections. These policy pillars are not only central to his campaign platform but also deeply align with the priorities of Mississippi voters.
Pathway to a Pinkins Victory
The upcoming Senate race is a critical opportunity for the people of Mississippi to elect a representative who truly reflects the state's varied communities and is committed to advocating for their needs in the nation's capital. Grounded in his deep roots in the Mississippi Delta and his well-defined policy vision, Ty Pinkins stands out as a candidate who can truly resonate with Mississippi voters. Pinkins can make this race competitive with the resources to define his value and ability to deliver for all of Mississippi as opposed to Wicker who a majority views as an ineffective empty suit career politician.
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[1]Polling was conducted online from September 29-October 3, 2024. Using Dynamic Online Sampling to attain a representative sample, Change Research polled 565 general election voters in Mississippi. Post-stratification was performed on age, gender, race/ethnicity, education, region, and 2020 presidential vote. You can see a full methodology statement here, which complies with the requirements of AAPOR's Transparency Initiative. Members of the Transparency Initiative disclose all relevant details about our research, with the principle that the public should be able to evaluate and understand research-based findings, in order to instill and restore public confidence in survey results.