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Impact of microfinance
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Bryan McCannon from West Virginia University

Poverty

GDP per capita:

        Historically standard measure of income: not perfect. But very useful.

Uganda:  about $600 per year

USA: $53,000

China: $6,800

2013  https://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&met_y=ny_gdp_pcap_cd&idim=country:CHN:IND&hl=en&dl=en

Life expectancy:

Uganda 59

Haiti 61

US   80

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_life_expectancy

Tough to ask questions on wealth

Uganda

20% live in mud hut

42 don’t have floors

20% have electricity

Instititutions:

Rules of the game

How courts work, how notaries work

Poor governance leads to poor institutions leads to poor country!

Free the world:

        http://www.freetheworld.com/reports.html

Haiti: http://www.freetheworld.com/countrydata.php?country=C54&x=24&y=9

USA:

Three Economic issues

  1. Info asymmetries:
  2. Moral Hazard: will money go where it was intended?  

                Monitoring is costly

    3. Economies of scale

                Lending involves high Fixed costs can’t be spread out if only a few loans

Bad legal systems etc exasperate these problems....and cause market to end

Other risks (political, inflation, etc)

So what to do?

Microfinance

Promise of microfinance: small injection of cash can lead to major impacts

        Example from Poor Economics: selling bananas....high interest expense...if only one day no interest...so you don’t need to borrow as much...so equity builds up....

(of course, people would behave differently if they have more $)

http://www.pooreconomics.com/

        Group lending: better monitoring for “free”

        Ask for group to assess risk of loans

        DO not give to men alone---men more apt to waste the money

Still a debate at how much it helps...but microlending does APPEAR to help

His paper:

        Looked at spillover effects

                Does micro lending lead to pro-social behavior?

Public goods (things we all have to pay for)

        4th of July fireworks...picking up litter...volunteering...etc...you incur costs, others benefit

Some examples show that violence etc may reduce public good donations

Hurricane katrina evacuees contributed less

Maybe good things (like micro-finance) would have prosocial benefits

Mikwana finance in uganda (7 years)

Looked at successes

165 people

40%  had used the microloans (18-76)

        Education avg 8 years...but many had 0

From various Microloan groups

11.5% had jobs that most in US would call jobs

Started game with about a day’s wage (70 cents)

        Take as many home with you...you and three others will play the same...we will match it...group then divides it

Findings:

        Avg contribution 3.1  (much higher than US)

        Gave more when only person giving

Post katrina gave less than 40%,

Sole dictator, gave more

Those who had received micro loans gave about 10% more

        Positive spillover

Intentionally doing more than what they think their peers will be doing

Give about 1/3 of a coin more...if micro loan receiver...

He thinks it is caused by social preferences

        A handful of things (public goods) are based on more than just consumption....Called social preferences

        Not income effect, not social norms....

Robust to all tests...