青箱-貢献度 140石マルチ ver.

	A	B	C	D	E	F
1
2
3		bin幅	0.25%
4
5
6		エウロペで、貢献度68万で青箱が出ない報告あり。
7		だいたい17.9%で、想定している10%安定ラインを大幅に超える。
8		https://twitter.com/starlightfencer/status/1053975640590798849
9
10		Step-likeな形状で、最後の１stepで100%に届かない場合を仮定。
11		y切片にあたる数値が高すぎる・・・？理想的には青箱0%になってほしい
12
13					どの行番号まで線形近似するか
14				行番号	74
15				貢献度	10.38%
16
17						y = a + b*x
18					a	0.1188452644
19					b	9.05527867
20				100%になる貢献度割合		9.73%
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32	貢献度割合	母数	青箱あり	青箱なし	確率	回帰解析
33	0.13%	429	5	424	1.17%	13.02%
34	0.38%	19	0	19	0.00%	15.28%
35	0.63%	9	1	8	11.11%	17.54%
36	0.88%	12	3	9	25.00%	19.81%
37	1.13%	20	8	12	40.00%	22.07%
38	1.38%	24	5	19	20.83%	24.34%
39	1.63%	29	9	20	31.03%	26.60%
40	1.88%	32	10	22	31.25%	28.86%
41	2.13%	35	8	27	22.86%	31.13%
42	2.38%	54	19	35	35.19%	33.39%
43	2.63%	64	24	40	37.50%	35.65%
44	2.88%	51	24	27	47.06%	37.92%
45	3.13%	74	30	44	40.54%	40.18%
46	3.38%	81	33	48	40.74%	42.45%
47	3.63%	98	44	54	44.90%	44.71%
48	3.88%	158	72	86	45.57%	46.97%
49	4.13%	139	73	66	52.52%	49.24%
50	4.38%	169	93	76	55.03%	51.50%
51	4.63%	129	76	53	58.91%	53.77%
52	4.88%	128	63	65	49.22%	56.03%
53	5.13%	129	82	47	63.57%	58.29%
54	5.38%	148	95	53	64.19%	60.56%
55	5.63%	158	93	65	58.86%	62.82%
56	5.88%	138	95	43	68.84%	65.08%
57	6.13%	174	117	57	67.24%	67.35%
58	6.38%	159	114	45	71.70%	69.61%
59	6.63%	215	161	54	74.88%	71.88%
60	6.88%	181	133	48	73.48%	74.14%
61	7.13%	223	162	61	72.65%	76.40%
62	7.38%	243	187	56	76.95%	78.67%
63	7.63%	250	195	55	78.00%	80.93%
64	7.88%	262	231	31	88.17%	83.19%
65	8.13%	291	245	46	84.19%	85.46%
66	8.38%	287	260	27	90.59%	87.72%
67	8.63%	265	235	30	88.68%	89.99%
68	8.88%	297	277	20	93.27%	92.25%
69	9.13%	264	251	13	95.08%	94.51%
70	9.38%	284	273	11	96.13%	96.78%
71	9.63%	268	267	1	99.63%	99.04%
72	9.88%	296	295	1	99.66%	99.99%
73	10.13%	297	296	1	99.66%	99.99%
74	10.38%	306	306	0	100.00%	99.99%
75	10.63%	308	308	0	100.00%	99.99%
76	10.88%	288	288	0	100.00%	99.99%
77	11.13%	244	244	0	100.00%	99.99%
78	11.38%	245	245	0	100.00%	99.99%
79	11.63%	228	228	0	100.00%	99.99%
80	11.88%	253	253	0	100.00%	99.99%
81	12.13%	201	201	0	100.00%	99.99%
82	12.38%	211	211	0	100.00%	99.99%
83	12.63%	192	192	0	100.00%	99.99%
84	12.88%	169	169	0	100.00%	99.99%
85	13.13%	167	167	0	100.00%	99.99%
86	13.38%	166	166	0	100.00%	99.99%
87	13.63%	128	128	0	100.00%	99.99%
88	13.88%	132	132	0	100.00%	99.99%
89	14.13%	137	136	1	99.27%	99.99%
90	14.38%	112	112	0	100.00%	99.99%
91	14.63%	115	115	0	100.00%	99.99%
92	14.88%	110	110	0	100.00%	99.99%
93	15.13%	104	104	0	100.00%	99.99%
94	15.38%	87	87	0	100.00%	99.99%
95	15.63%	76	76	0	100.00%	99.99%
96	15.88%	86	86	0	100.00%	99.99%
97	16.13%	86	86	0	100.00%	99.99%
98	16.38%	68	68	0	100.00%	99.99%
99	16.63%	68	68	0	100.00%	99.99%
100	16.88%	63	63	0	100.00%	99.99%