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1 | ZNOG Potential Fair Value PPS Upon Discovery - Stocktwits @jmaruschok | Sources | MJ2 Milestones | Sources | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | Brent Oil $/Barrel as of 11/11/2022 | $96.06 | Oil Price Charts | Oilprice.com | First section of well complete at 3,000'. Begin casing 2/1/2021 | Press Release: February 1, 2021 - Zion Oil & Gas Nears First Drilling Milestone in MJ-02 Well In Israel | |||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | Outstanding Shares as of 11/8/2022 (From 2022 Q3 10Q) | 514,582,460 | ZNOG - Zion Oil & Gas, Inc. | Security | OTC Markets | Depth of about 8,500' next. Second casing around end of March | https://www.zionoil.com/updates/zion-oil-gas-operational-update-march-10-2021/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | Daily Oil Production Rate Barrels/Day | Assume 1,500 | US Oil and Gas Wells by Production Rate - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) | Drilling continues as expected. $2.2M raised Q1 through DSPP (F-30) | Zion Oil & Gas Inc 2020 Annual Report 10-K (sec.report) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | MJ1 Price Timeline | https://stocktwits.com/jmaruschok/message/260224488 | Funded through May 2021 (p. 32) | Zion Oil & Gas Inc 2020 Annual Report 10-K (sec.report) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
6 | MJ2 Anticpated Spud to Target Depth Time | 5 months | Zion Oil & Gas, Inc. Receives Drilling Plan Approval in Israel | Completed second section. Bore deeper and wider than any before | Press Release: April 12, 2021 - Zion Oil & Gas Completes Second Drilling Milestone in Megiddo-Jezreel #2 (MJ-02) Well in Israel | |||||||||||||||||||||||
7 | MJ2 Spud Date | 1/6/2021 | Press Release: January 6, 2021 – Zion Oil & Gas Spuds the Megiddo-Jezreel #2 Well in Israel | Target depth is 5,800m (~19,000'). Drilling still on schedule | Zion Oil & Gas Inc 2021 Quarterly Report 10-Q (sec.report) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
8 | MJ2 Rig Cost | $5,600,000.00 | Zion Oil & Gas Purchases Drilling Rig for Israel Operations | Drilling rate is far outpacing first sections. Hitting key geological markers | 🇮🇱 Zion Oil & Gas Operations Update (mailchi.mp) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
9 | MJ2 2021 Depreciated Value (7 Year Depreciation) | $4,800,000.00 | Oil: A big investment with big tax breaks (investopedia.com) | 6/9/21 Annual Meeting: 9 5/8" casing ready to be set for 3rd stage. 5,400' to go. Mid-late July target depth. License extended to December 2, 2021. 4-6 weeks for well testing anticipated | 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders (zionoil.com) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
10 | Monthly Expenses While Not Drilling | $600,000.00 | Zion Oil & Gas Inc 2020 Quarterly Report 10-Q (sec.report) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
11 | Minimum Additional Monthly Expenses While Drilling | $2,500,000.00 | Zion Oil & Gas Inc 2020 Annual Report 10-K (sec.report) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
12 | Minimum Total Monthly Expenses While Drilling | $3,100,000.00 | Stability issues encountered in shale formation | Zion Oil & Gas Operations Update from Israel as of July 26, 2021 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
13 | 2021 Expenses - From Annual Report | $31,606,000.00 | downloadFiling (quotemedia.com) | 8/23/2021 - Actually drilling again. Downtime is unknown to shareholders | Zion Oil & Gas Operations Update from Israel as of August 23, 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
14 | Commissioner's office confirms that license 428 ends December 2, 2021 | Jake Maruschok (@jmaruschok) | Stocktwits | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
15 | Estimated 2022 Non-Drilling Expenses | $7,200,000.00 | $600k/month * 12 months | 11/11/2021 - In fourth section. Should be testing this quarter | Zion Oil and Gas, Inc. – Zion Oil & Gas Operations Update from Israel as of November 11, 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
16 | Israeli Royalties at Market Value - Deductible as Expenses for Profit Levy | 12.50% | Fiscal & Financial Terms (energy-sea.gov.il) | Well is complete at 18,141' with hydrocarbon shows. Starting to test | Zion Oil and Gas, Inc. – Press Release: Zion Oil & Gas Completes Drilling Phase of the Megiddo-Jezreel #2 (MJ-02) Well in Israel | |||||||||||||||||||||||
17 | Israeli Profit Levy - Only Applied After 150% ROI | See Chapter 2 | Petroleum Profits Taxation Bill 5771-2011 (energy-sea.gov.il) | License is extended until August 1, 2022 for well testing purposes | Zion Oil & Gas Inc 2021 Current Report 8-K (sec.report) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
18 | Levy Profit Levy After 230% ROI | 45% | 4/7/2022 - Dunn meeting with Israeli government and local municipalities | Zion Oil and Gas, Inc. – Zion Oil & Gas Operations Update from Israel as of April 7, 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
19 | Levy R Factor Assuming 1,500 Barrels/Day Produced | 1.19 | ($B$2*1500*365*0.875)/($B$13+$B$14) | 5/11/2022 - New applications submitted, extension and new | Zion Oil and Gas, Inc. – Press Release: Zion Oil & Gas Operational Update for License #428 in Israel | |||||||||||||||||||||||
20 | Assumed Israeli Profit Levy | 20% | Fiscal & Financial Terms (energy-sea.gov.il) | 6/8/2022 - Annual Shareholder Meeting Video | Zion Oil and Gas, Inc. – 2022 Annual Meeting of Shareholders video recap – Zion Oil & Gas Shareholder Proxy Vote Information | |||||||||||||||||||||||
21 | Israeli Corporate Income Tax | 23% | Fiscal & Financial Terms (energy-sea.gov.il) | 8/1/2022 - 6 month license extension to 2/2/2023 | Zion Oil and Gas, Inc. – Zion Oil & Gas Operations Update from Israel as of August 1, 2022 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
22 | Charitable Foundations - Percentage of Gross Revenue | 6% | Zion Oil & Gas Inc 2019 Annual Report 10-K (sec.report) | 11/10/2022 - Testing resumed early November | 10-Q Form - Quarterly report [Sections 13 or 15(d)] - ZION OIL & GAS INC (0001131312) (Filer) (newsfilter.io) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
23 | Israeli Petroleum Law as it pertains to Zion license | Jake Maruschok (@jmaruschok) | Stocktwits | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
24 | Recoverable Barrels of Oil Assuming Only One Well In Operation *In my opinion, if anything over 25M barrels are found, many more wells will be drilled, greatly reducing the years of production, increasing operating costs, but increasing PPS | Gross Revenue | Production Years at 1,500 Barrels/Day | Royalties at Market Value | Levy | Income Tax After Expenses and Assets | Charity | Company Value | PPS | |||||||||||||||||||
25 | 10,000,000 | $960,600,000 | 18.26 | $120,075,000 | $243,752,250 | $100,845,777 | $29,755,618 | $466,171,354 | $0.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
26 | 25,000,000 | $2,401,500,000 | 45.66 | $300,187,500 | $609,380,625 | $261,362,513 | $73,834,162 | $1,156,735,200 | $2.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
27 | 50,000,000 | $4,803,000,000 | 91.32 | $600,375,000 | $1,218,761,250 | $528,890,406 | $147,298,401 | $2,307,674,944 | $4.48 | |||||||||||||||||||
28 | 100,000,000 | $9,606,000,000 | 182.65 | $1,200,750,000 | $2,437,522,500 | $1,063,946,192 | $294,226,879 | $4,609,554,430 | $8.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
29 | 200,000,000 | $19,212,000,000 | 365.30 | $2,401,500,000 | $4,875,045,000 | $2,134,057,763 | $588,083,834 | $9,213,313,403 | $17.90 | |||||||||||||||||||
30 | 300,000,000 | $28,818,000,000 | 547.95 | $3,602,250,000 | $7,312,567,500 | $3,204,169,335 | $881,940,790 | $13,817,072,375 | $26.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
31 | 400,000,000 | $38,424,000,000 | 730.59 | $4,803,000,000 | $9,750,090,000 | $4,274,280,906 | $1,175,797,746 | $18,420,831,348 | $35.80 | |||||||||||||||||||
32 | 500,000,000 | $48,030,000,000 | 913.24 | $6,003,750,000 | $12,187,612,500 | $5,344,392,478 | $1,469,654,701 | $23,024,590,321 | $44.74 | |||||||||||||||||||
33 | 1,000,000,000 | $96,060,000,000 | 1,826.48 | $12,007,500,000 | $24,375,225,000 | $10,694,950,336 | $2,938,939,480 | $46,043,385,184 | $89.48 | |||||||||||||||||||
34 | 1,500,000,000 | $144,090,000,000 | 2,739.73 | $18,011,250,000 | $36,562,837,500 | $16,045,508,194 | $4,408,224,258 | $69,062,180,048 | $134.21 | |||||||||||||||||||
35 | 2,000,000,000 | $192,120,000,000 | 3,652.97 | $24,015,000,000 | $48,750,450,000 | $21,396,066,052 | $5,877,509,037 | $92,080,974,912 | $178.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
36 | 2,500,000,000 | $240,150,000,000 | 4,566.21 | $30,018,750,000 | $60,938,062,500 | $26,746,623,909 | $7,346,793,815 | $115,099,769,775 | $223.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
37 | 3,000,000,000 | $288,180,000,000 | 5,479.45 | $36,022,500,000 | $73,125,675,000 | $32,097,181,767 | $8,816,078,594 | $138,118,564,639 | $268.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
38 | 3,500,000,000 | $336,210,000,000 | 6,392.69 | $42,026,250,000 | $85,313,287,500 | $37,447,739,625 | $10,285,363,372 | $161,137,359,502 | $313.14 | |||||||||||||||||||
39 | 4,000,000,000 | $384,240,000,000 | 7,305.94 | $48,030,000,000 | $97,500,900,000 | $42,798,297,483 | $11,754,648,151 | $184,156,154,366 | $357.87 | |||||||||||||||||||
40 | 4,500,000,000 | $432,270,000,000 | 8,219.18 | $54,033,750,000 | $109,688,512,500 | $48,148,855,341 | $13,223,932,930 | $207,174,949,230 | $402.61 | |||||||||||||||||||
41 | 5,000,000,000 | $480,300,000,000 | 9,132.42 | $60,037,500,000 | $121,876,125,000 | $53,499,413,199 | $14,693,217,708 | $230,193,744,093 | $447.34 | |||||||||||||||||||
42 | 7,500,000,000 | $720,450,000,000 | 13,698.63 | $90,056,250,000 | $182,814,187,500 | $80,252,202,488 | $22,039,641,601 | $345,287,718,411 | $671.01 | |||||||||||||||||||
43 | 10,000,000,000 | $960,600,000,000 | 18,264.84 | $120,075,000,000 | $243,752,250,000 | $107,004,991,778 | $29,386,065,493 | $460,381,692,729 | $894.67 | |||||||||||||||||||
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47 | Jake Maruschok (@jmaruschok) | Stocktwits | RECAF | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
48 | ZNOG Zion Oil & Gas Inc — Stock Price and Discussion | Stocktwits | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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