Consistently Mediocre: The Win Production of Charlie Villanueva
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Opponents Win Score Overall ----- |
Defensive Win Contribution (%playing time x Opp Win Score) ----- |
Defensive Half Wins ----- |
Player's Win Score ----- |
Offensive Win Contribution ----- |
Offensive Half Wins ----- |
Wins Produced (Win Contribution) ----- |
Win Rate (Wins Produced per 48 minutes) ----- |
Wins produced over average (Personal Win-Loss Record) ----- |
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Charlie Villanueva 2005-06 ---- |
+2.3 | (-0.272) | 1.1 hwins | -0.7 | (-0.082) | 3.7 hwins |
2.4 wins (-0.177) |
0.048 |
-2.3 wins (21-61) |
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Charlie Villanueva 2006-07 ----- |
+2.7 | (-0.132) | 0.2 hwins | -0.4 | (-0.019) | 1.7 hwins |
0.9 wins (-0.075) |
0.044 |
-1.0 wins (21-61) |
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Charlie Villanueva 2007-08 ----- |
+2.2 | (-0.202) | 0.9 hwins | -0.8 | (-0.073) | 2.7 hwins |
1.8 wins (-0.137) |
0.047 |
-1.8 wins (21-61) |
"Win Score": A basketball metric developed by Professor David Berri of the Wages of Wins Journal. It measures how a player's statistical production correlates with wins. The number in the chart actually represents the player's "Win Score Above Average," in other words, the amount of Win Score points a player or his opponent produces above the average number of Win Score points produced at the player's positional mix every 48 minutes. Berri's research shows a very strong correlation between the number of Win Score points a player accumulates above the average at his position and the number of team wins.
Win Score Formula: Points + Rebounds +1/2 Assists +1/2 Blocks + Steals -Turnovers-Field Goals Attempted-1/2 Personal Fouls-1/2 Free Throws Attempted / minutes played x 48 - the Win Score Average for the player's positional mix.
Win Rate: The number of wins the player produces every 48 minutes. The NBA average Win Rate is 0.100.
Win Contribution: This is akin to baseball's "Replacement Value over Average Player". 0.000 is (roughly) the average player's contribution, and such a contribution would, if spread over an entire team, produce a 41-41 record. So every positive number represents the player's contribution to making the team a winning team (a +.500 team), and every negative number represents the player's contribution to making the team a losing team.