FSLR Notes:
EPS Release and conference call 2/13/08
Q4 revenue $200.8m up 26.3% sequentially and 281% y/y – for full year $504m from $135 in 2006
Net income $0.77 versus $0.11 last year – full year EPS $2.03 versus 0.05 last year
Increased module production by 244% to > 200MW and reduced cost per watt by 12% to $1.23
Contracts with customers through 2012 representing over 3 gigawats – revenue allowing expansion of capacity which drives cost reduction effort
Added 6 new customers (now 12 total) with geographic coverage across majority of Europe
Acquired Turner Renewable Energy (re-named First Solar Electric Company) – plant engineering and project management skills – focus on Utilities
Q4 represents steady state quarter – full benefit of capacity online with no ramp up costs.
Plant 1 in Malaysia is complete and should ramp a bit ahead of schedule providing upside to previous production estimates
Plants 2,3 & 4 in different stages of construction and progressing in line with previous guidance
All four online by Q4 2009 driving annual production to 1GW annually
Demand robust (outstrips supply) – sold 75.8MW at $2.60 / watt
Vast majority of modules deployed in Germany – should continue in ‘08
Seeking opportunities to expand to new markets with little or no subsidies
Strength of Euro contributed $43.8m to net sales in 2007 versus ‘06
Forex gains offset majority of annual price decline for ‘07
Hedged 36% of 2008 revenues at $1.45/EUR
Concentrating on RONA – preparing investors that margins may contract
Guiding to sell 400-430 mw in 2008 – revenues 900-950m
Q1 revenues will decline sequentially due to contractual price decline
2008 Start up costs 28.31m up from 17m in ‘07
Increasing guidance for stock based compensation (stock volatility, expanded workforce)
CSFB Report 2/13/08
Impressed with Q4 – CY ’10 EPS @ 8.75
Low cost production brings industry closer to stand alone profitability without subsidies
Sees room for efficiency gains (production volume and costs) by tweaking processes
Believes the company using a very conservative approach regarding future decline in sales price
Lehman report 2/14/08
Believes company could consider a new production site after completing Malaysia
Announcement of deals with US utilities could provide positive catalyst.