CLWR Notes
EPS Release 5/12/08
Q1 Revenue 51.5m up 76% y/y and subscribers 443,000 up 72% y/y
Successful expansion of service offerings to include residential voice in more markets
Three additional markets turned EBITDA positive – total now 27 – was 10 last year
EBITDA margin up to 21% for initial markets (the 25 markets launched prior to 2006)
Deployment of WiMAX in Portland Oregon making progress
Combination of CLWR and Sprint’s mobile WiMAX business to close Q4 2008
ARPU $36.86 – slightly above 35.80 from last year
Consolidated churn 2.2% - domestic churn 2.0%
Gross margins 26% versus 43% year ago – affected by launch of 7 large markets and promotional offerings
EBITDA Loss of 81.2m versus 51.5 last year
Higher cost per gross addition, admin costs, spectrum lease expense
Capex $53.1m versus 74.4m last year (decision in 2H 2007 to slow expansion)
Did not add any new markets in 2008 – focus on efficiency and profitability in existing markets
Initial markets (pre-2006) strong revenue growth (38%)and driven by subscriber growth as well as premium services
Nearly 60% of domestic markets were EBITDA positive
Long-term debt of $1.23 billion
Funding gap required to finish nationwide build out estimated at 2-2.3 billion
Wachovia report 5/13/08
Gross adds were better than expected but churn was also higher, resulting in relatively tame net adds
Management commentary churn should slightly increase in Q2
1/3 of markets have 15% plus household penetration and 2/3 of markets have 10% penetration rate.
Forecasting 173,000 net adds in 2008 and 525,000 in 2009
Concerns regarding 2.1-2.3 billion funding gap
EPS Release 3/5/09
- Closed $3.2 bil financing round at $17 (early in 2008)
- Completed transaction with Sprint – nationwide spectrum footprint
- Wholesale distribution agreements with Sprint and leading cable companies
- ARPU’s increasing despite industry declines
- To launch “clear” mobile broadband service in new markets (Atlanta, Las Vegas, Philadelphia & Dallas/ft worth) & existing markets (Baltimore, Seatle, Honolulu and Charlotte)
- Ability to cover up to 120 mil people by end of 2010 (NYC, DC, Houston and San Fran)
- Flexibility to accelerate / decelerate expansion
- Intel and other industry leaders to build WIMAX compatibility
o Expect 100 WIMAX compatible devices by end of 2009
- 2009 & 2010 focus on development and expansion of 4G network
o Net cash spend for 2009 at $1.5 bil to $1.9 bil
o Managing cash resources into 2011 but can be flexible
o Timing to be determined by business success and availability of capital
Wachovia Report 3/6/09
- Net adds for Q4 were 5,000
- ARPU $39.70 – up 10% y/y
- First WIMAX launch in Portland appears to be a success
- Most user growth will be tail end of 2009 after Las Vegas and Atlanta launch this summer.