JRJC Notes:
IBD Article 9/27/07
Model has changed from advertising sales to subscription revenue
Advertising revenue up 60% last quarter but management guiding this to be flat
In Q1 the number of China investment accounts was up 36% after years of sow growth
Only 0.5% of registered users paying for more advanced financial analytical tools
Hiring telemarketers to upsell users
Signed $3m dollar deal to buy Hong Kong brokerage
New management attempting to turn $7.3m registered users into paying subscribers
Transitioning from advertising revenue to subscription revenue
Subscriptions accounted for 81% of revenue in Q2
July 2005 Jun Ning resigned and Zhiwei Zhao was recruited as CEO
Analysts guiding 90 cents in 2008 (up to 96 cents now 4/28/08)
EPS Release and Conf call 2/29/08 for Q4
Guiding net revenue for 2008 to $54-61 million, up from previous range of $50-60m
Guiding non-GAAP net income to $24-29 million up from $22-28 million
Active paying retail subscribers 56,200 up 24% sequentially
Net revenue 8.88m up 252% y/y and 22% sequentially
Non GAAP EPS 0.16
FY 2007 revenue of $25.9 million up 263% y/y and EPS 0.45
Subscription fees paid by retail investors represented 87% of revenue for Q4
Another 3% from institutional subscription fees
Advertising revenues were only 5% of total
Investment in Moloon – Mobile streaming media – was written down from 12.61m to 1.48m – should not have adverse affect on growth
Strong cash balance of $74.7m made up of 51.1m in RM and 23.6m in other currencies
12/31 had 9.0m registered users up from 8.1m end of last Quarter
Expects 10-10.5 million revenues in Q1
Continuous enhancements in telemarketing capabilities and recent partnership with Shanghai stock exchange and China Telecom
2008 financial results will be back end loaded – China Telecom likely to ramp into second half
No long-term debt, balance sheet looks healthy
November 2007 successfully completed acquisition of Daily Growth Investment Company – licensed brokerage company
End of 2007 there were 180 million stock trading accounts open in China
China law limits each individual to no more than 2 accounts
Do not expect Daily Growth to make a sizable impact in first half